RunWV Predictions
Teams

The state meet predictions are based on results have gathered throughout the season, head-to-head competitions, regional results, perceived potential, trends and (of course) gut feeling.

AAA Boys Team Predictions
1.  Parkersburg South	56
2.  Cabell Midland      52
3.  George Washington   44
4.  Hurricane           41
4.  Winfield            41
6.  Parkersburg         34
7.  Morgantown          33
8.  University          30
9.  Martinsburg         29
10. Wheeling Park       26
11. Huntington          23
12. Spring Valley       20
13. Jefferson           18
14. Ripley              16
15. Capital             14
16. Buckhannon-Upshur   12
16. Musselman           12
18. Brooke              11
19. Riverside           10
19. Woodrow Wilson      10
21. Shady Spring         8
22. Nitro                6
22. Point Pleasant       6
24. Hedgesville          3
25. Elkins               1
25. Greenbrier East      1
25. Washington           1
This could be a battle.  Parkersburg South comes out on top with my picks, but they are very
field event reliant.  That's dangerous.  Cabell Midland has pulled out meets like this before,
but they'll need to have their mid-distance crew rolling strong.  George Washington is nearly
maxed out, so it would be hard for them to move up.  Winfield and Hurricane could both pull
more points.  Parkersburg definitely has some upward mobility, but to get all the way to the
top would be asking a lot.  Martinsburg is another team with a lot of upward potential.  I have
them 9th, but moving into the top 5 wouldn't be unreasonable at all.  Every point is going to
matter in this meet with the points being spread so thin.

 
AAA Girls Team Predictions
1.  Hurricane             90
2.  Winfield              70
3.  Wheeling Park         37
4.  Huntington            36
5.  Jefferson             35
6.  Morgantown            33
7.  St. Albans            30
8.  George Washington     25
8.  Parkersburg           25
10. Hedgesville           21
11. Cabell Midland        19
12. Spring Mills          16
13. Washington            14
14. Brooke                13
15. Shady Spring          12
16. Greenbrier East       11
16. Ripley                11
18. Buckhannon-Upshur     10
18. University            10
20. Point Pleasant         8
21. Elkins                 7
21. John Marshall          7
23. Capital                6
23. Woodrow Wilson         6
25. Lewis                  4
26. Hampshire              1
26. Martinsburg            1
Odds are these top two won't score this many points...but that's what I came up with.
I do feel pretty confident that these will be the top 2.  Things are pretty tight
after that.  Wheeling Park, and particularly Morgantown, have a lot of upward mobility
in their scores.  Parkersburg, as well, could move up several spaces.
 
AA Boys Team Predictions
1.  Roane                78
2.  Ritchie              74
3.  Poca                 44
4.  Bridgeport           42
4.  Webster              42
6.  Keyser               41
7.  Bluefield            38
8.  Robert C. Byrd       35
9.  East Fairmont        28
10. Scott                26
11. PikeView             20
12. Weir                 18
13. Oak Glen             17
13. Liberty Raleigh      17
15. Berkeley Springs     13
16. Braxton               8
16. Fairmont Senior       8
18. Frankfort             5
19. Wayne                 2
20. James Monroe          1
20. Petersburg            1
This is almost assuredly a two-team race.  I have Roane and Ritchie separated by
just 4 points, so there will be a lot of critical events.  I only have 3rd through
6th separated by just 3 points.  3rd through 8th are separated by just 9 points.
Bridgeport and Keyser have more upward mobility and could move up.
 
AA Girls Team Predictions
1.  Bridgeport		 115
2.  Berkeley Springs      55
3.  North Marion          49
4.  Keyser                43
5.  Nicholas              36
6.  Ritchie               34
7.  Independence          32
8.  Herbert Hoover        31
9.  Liberty Harrison      28
9.  Roane                 28
11. Robert C. Byrd        21
12. Ravenswood            20
13. Oak Glen              18
14. Philip Barbour        15
15. Frankfort              6
15. Liberty Raleigh        6
15. Weir                   6
18. Wayne                  4
19. Braxton                3
20. Bluefield              2
20. Grafton                2
20. Mingo Central          2
23. Fairmont Senior        1
23. Petersburg             1
As with last year, there isn't much suspense in the team race.  There should be
a battle for 2nd, though, and I have the surging Berkeley Springs in that spot by
just 6 points over North Marion.  North Marion probably has enough upward mobility
in their events that they could easily snag that 2nd spot.  Keyser could pretty 
easily pick up a number of points as well.

A Boys Team Predictions
1.  Buffalo              69
1.  Doddridge            69
1.  Williamstown         69
4.  Wirt                 48
5.  Magnolia             47
6.  South Harrison       45
7.  Gilmer               36
8.  Valley Wetzel        32
9.  Madonna              28
9.  Wheeling Central     28
11. Tyler Consolidated   19
12. Pocahontas           14
13. Notre Dame           12
14. Moorefield            8
14. St. Marys             8
16. Tucker                7
17. Meadow Bridge         6
18. Charleston Catholic   4
18. Richwood              4
18. Wahama                4
21. East Hardy            1
I promise that I didn't do any finagling to create that tie above.  I've
figured all along that this would be a close race, and there you have it.
There is certainly no clear cut favorite.  Doddridge has won 4 in a row.
Buffalo just beat them at the Regional. Williamstown just took over the
top spot in the Power rankings.  This should be a lot of fun.  The battle
for 4th is very tight as well with just 3 points separating the teams.

A Girls Team Predictions
1.  Tucker                 89
2.  Williamstown           52
3.  Wheeling Central       48
4.  Magnolia               45
5.  Charleston Catholic    42
6.  St. Marys              39
7.  Doddridge              34
8.  Clay-Battelle          32
8.  Tyler Consolidated     32
10. Union                  28
11. Madonna                26
12. Trinity                21
13. Sherman                18
14. Parkersburg Catholic   16
15. Valley Wetzel          12
16. Valley Fayette          9
17. South Harrison          4
18. Buffalo                 3
19. Gilmer                  2
19. Wahama                  2
21. Moorefield              1
21. Paden City              1
21. Tygarts Valley          1
21. Wirt                    1
I'm sure this will probably end up closer than this.  It seems like as I 
was doing this, I gave Tucker the benefit of the doubt just about every time,
and Williamstown seemed to get the short end of the stick.  Charleston Catholic
and in particular, Doddridge, have some upward mobility.