Class A Girls Individual Predictions

Individual Predictions

100 M	1.  Elaysia Hill	Bishop Donahue
	2.  Brooklyn Hammer	Williamstown
	3.  Alexis Saunders	Parkersburg Catholic
	4.  Kiera Standiform	Magnolia
	5.  Ariel Fish		Tyler Consolidated
	6.  Hillary Casteel	Tyler Consolidated
Hill has the top time in the field and has three runs under 12.90.  Hammer is the
only other one to have gone under 13 seconds, and she's done it 3 times.  No one
else has been under 13.25.  Saunders has four runs under 13.50.  Standiford only
has the 7th best time in the field, but looked very good at her Regional.  Fish has 
the 4th best time in the field and has a pair of runs under 13.50, but she was only
6th at her Regional meet.  Casteel had two strong runs at her regional.  After the
first two, this one is a toss up.  7 have been under 13.40.  9 have been 13.42 or
better.  

200 M	1.  Madelin Gardner	Williamstown
	2.  Hanna Carreon	Clay-Battelle
	3.  Sarah Ferguson	Doddridge
	4.  Elaysia Hill	Bishop Donahue
	5.  Alexis Saunders	Parkersburg Catholic
	6.  Hillary Casteel	Tyler Consolidated
Gardner popped off a 26.05 at her Regional, the best time in the field by over 0.4
seconds.  Carreon ran 26.46 at her Regional.  She has 4 runs under 27 seconds, more
than anyone else in the field.  Ferguson has three runs under 27 seconds.  Hill is
the only other one to have gone under 27 seconds.  Saunders has a 27.04 and has four
others at 27.70 or better.  Casteel has the next best series.  9 have been under 28.

400 M	1.  Madelin Gardner	Williamstown
	2.  Chloe Conner	Madonna
	3.  Kelsey Kyle		Tucker
	4.  Alexis Saunders	Parkersburg Catholic
	5.  Savanah Ferguson	Doddridge
	6.  Ellie Gardner	Williamstown
Madelin Gardner is the only one with more than one run under 62 seconds, and she has 3.  
Conner has the top time in the field and two other runs under 63 seconds.  Kyle is
the only other one to have gone under 63 seconds.  Saunders has one run under 64
but obviously has the speed to be a problem.  Ferguson has the 4th best time in the
field but, along with Ellie Gardner, will have to earn her place from the first heat.
Those two have better series' adn better top times than the three others who have
run under 1:04 and did so at their regional.  9 have been under 64.  11 have been 
64.10 or better.

800 M	1.  Lia Preston		Charleston Catholic
	2.  Peyton Keener	Charleston Catholic
	3.  Quincy McKown	Charleston Catholic
	4.  Cami Mossor		Williamstown	
	5.  Lauren Cline	Magnolia
	6.  Olivia Miller	Tucker
Preston has the only run under 2:30 in the field.  Keener had the best Regional run
in the field.  McKown has the 2nd best top time in the field.  Mossor was 4th last
year.  Cline is one of just three in the field with two runs under 2:33.  Miller
was the runner-up last year.  She only has the 8th best time and only one run under
2:35, but I'm afraid to leave her out.  She could be pulled from this event and 
added to the 4x400 or the 4x800.  11 in the field have been under 2:35.  Only five
have done it more than once.

1600 M	1.  Payton Mullens	Charleston Catholic
	2.  Cami Mossor		Williamstown
	3.  Abbie Barnett	Trinity
	4.  Amelia Sebok	Sherman
	5.  Quincy McKown	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Bri Ritz		Magnolia
Mullens has a pair of runs at 5:35 or better.  Mossor has the top time in the field.
Barnett has the best series and is the only on to have three runs under 5:40.  Sebok
has a 5:40 and a 5:42.  McKown only has the 7th best time in the field, but her 800
speed makes her very much a threat.  Ritz has a 5:42 to her credit.  8 have been
under 5:50.  10 have been under 5:53.

3200 M	1.  Payton Mullens	Charleston Catholic
	2.  Amelia Sebok	Sherman
	3.  Cami Mossor		Williamstown
	4.  Shealee Mossor	Williamstown
	5.  Hannah Gacek	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Piper McLaughlin	Trinity
Mullens has the best time in the field by nearly 11 seconds.  She's only run the 
event 3 times, but each ahas been under 12:24.  Sebok is the only other one to have
been under 12:24.  Cami Mossor has the 2nd best series in the group nad looked good at
her regional.  Shealee Mossor has more run under 12:35 than anyone in the field.
Gacek has a better top time than Shealee Mossor and has two runs under 12:35.  
McLaughlin has run 12:30.  No one else has been under 12:45.  9 have been under 13:00.

100 HH	1.  Sarah Ferguson	Doddridge
	2.  Hannah Carreon	Clay-Battelle
	3.  Lindsey Baker	Wheeling Central
	4.  Bailey Clark	Wheeling Central
	5.  Rosa Plaugher	Doddridge
	6.  Presley Jordan	Trinity
Ferguson has the only sub-15 run in the field and has five runs under 15.50.  Carreon
has a 15.12 and has three runs under 15.50.  Baker ran a 15.63 at her Regional and 
has two other runs under 16.20.  Clark has four runs under 16.40 and three under 16.30.
Plaugher has a better top time than Clark with a 15.71 but has only one other run
under 16.30.  Jordan is the only other one to have been under 16.50.  7 in the field
have been under 17 seconds.

300 LH	1.  Sarah Ferguson	Doddridge
	2.  Madelin Gardner	Williamstown
	3.  Lindsey Baker	Wheeling Central
	4.  Olivia Miller	Tucker
	5.  Kelsey Kyle		Tucker
	6.  Haley Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
Ferguson has the only run under 45 seconds.  Gardner has two runs under 46 seconds.
Baker has the only other run under 49 seconds with a 47.69.  She has three other runs
under 49.  Miller has four runs under 50 seconds.  Kyle has three runs under 50.
Zahnow is the only other one to have gone under 50 seconds.  6 have been under 50.
7 have been under 51.  10 have been under 52.

4x100 M	1.  Clay-Battelle
	2.  Williamstown
	3.  Wheeling Central
	4.  Tyler Consolidated
	5.  Magnolia
	6.  Charleston Catholic
The top 4 teams have best times within 0.18 of each other.  This should be a good one.
Clay-Battelle has three runs under 52.30.  Williamstown has a pair under 52.30.  
Wheeling Central has a pair under 52.50.  Tyler Consolidated just beat Wheeling
Central at the Regional.  Those four have all been 52.29 or better. No one else has
been under 53.20.  Magnolia has the next best time.  I'm dropping Charleston Catholic
into the last slot based on Regional performance.  Madonna could add Chloe Conner
to their lineup and battle for 5th.  7 have been under 54 seconds.  9 have been
under 54.50.

4x200 M	1.  Magnolia
	2.  Clay-Battelle
	3.  Madonna
	4.  Williamstown
	5.  Tyler Consolidated
	6.  Tucker
Magnolia and Clay-Battelle had a great battle at their Regional Meet.  Magnolia won that
one, so I'm leaving it in that order.  Madonna had the next best Regional run. Williamstown
can be in Madonna's range.  Tyler Consolidated appears to be pretty solidly in that
5th spot.  Tucker has the capability to make some changes that might strengthen their
lineup.  6 have been under 1:54.  8 have been under 1:55.

4x400 M	1.  Madonna
	2.  Charleston Catholic
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Tucker
	5.  Doddridge
	6.  Magnolia
Madonna has the top time in the field by nearly 6 seconds.  I think they can go faster,
and I think they'll have to.  I show Madonna and Charleston Catholic with the ability
to run a 4:17.  Williamstown can get close to that area as well.  If Tucker fully
loads their lineup, they could win the event.  I see a 4:15 potential, but they'd have
to break apart some other things and pull from individual events to make it happen.
Doddridge has the next best time.  Magnolia has potential to go in the low-to-mid
4:20's.  I think St. Marys and Tyler Consolidated will be fighting for position as
well.

4x800 M	1.  Charleston Catholic
	2.  Williamstown
	3.  Trinity
	4.  Tyler Consolidated
	5.  Magnolia
	6.  Madonna
Charleston Catholic should have this well in hand.  Williamstown and Trinity should
battle for 2nd.  I think Williamstown has a little more potential, so I've given them
the 2nd spot.  The next three, I have pretty much identical in potential.  I gave
Tyler Consolidated the spot since they've been faster than Magnolia.  Magnolia has been
faster than Madonna.  Madonna's ability to contend with the other two hinges on whether
or not the add Chloe Conner to this lineup.  If they do, they could move as high as
4th.  If they don't, they risk not placing.  She's almost assuredly going into the
4x100 or the 4x800.  Tucker and possibly St. Marys will also be in the mix.  If Tucker
drops Olivia Miller from the open 800 and adds her to this, they could be in the fight
for 4th.

Shuttle	1.  Wheeling Central
	2.  Tucker
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Madonna
	5.  Trinity
	6.  Valley Wetzel
From lineups that I expect to be used, Wheeling Central has the best time by well over
a second.  Tucker has some issues at their Regional and will be running in the 2nd of
four heats, but they've gone under 1:10 twice.  Williamstown has gone under 1:11 with
the expected lineup.  Madonna and Trinity have been under 1:11.50.  Valley Wetzel has
been under 1:12.  7 in the field have been under 1:11.  10 have been under 1:12.

H Jump	1.  Olivia Miller	Tucker
	2.  Abigale Buchan	Valley Fayette
	3.  Bailey Estep	Magnolia
	4.  Jenna Nichols	St. Marys
	5.  Colleena Burdock	Union
	6.  Haley Stephenson	Doddridge
There are six in the field that have cleared 5'2.  Miller is the only one to have done
it twice.  Buchan, Estep, and Miller each also have a 5'1 jump.  Estep, Nichols, and
Burdock got 5'2 at their Regional, as did Miller.  Burdock's 5'2 regional jump is
her only time higher than 4'10.  Stephenson's 5'2 came in March.  She has at least
four other 5'0 clearances.  6 have cleared 5'2.  No one else has cleared 5'0.  11
have cleared 4'10.

P Vault	1.  Madelin Gardner	Williamstown
	2.  Erica Amos		Williamstown
	3.  Catherine Casingal	Charleston Catholic
	4.  Emily Hileman	Doddridge
	5.  Chelsey Randolph	Doddridge
	6.  Carolien Bantug	Tyler Consolidated
Gardner has gone 10'6, which puts her a full two feet over the rest of the field.
Amos has cleared 8'6 three times, and Casingal has done it twice.  Hileman has
cleared 8'0 twice while Randolph and Bantug have each done it once.  They both did it
at the Regional though, while Hileman didn't.  8 in the field have cleared 7'6.

L Jump	1.  Sarah Ferguson	Doddridge
	2.  Hillary Casteel	Tyler Consolidated
	3.  Jenna Nichols	St. Marys
	4.  Haley Stephenson	Doddridge
	5.  Hannah Brown	Richwood
	6.  Isis Moore		Tyler Consolidated
Ferguson has the only 17' jump in the field and has three jumps of at least 16'.
Casteel has a pair of 16' jumps.  Nichols has five jumps over 15'6, which only
Ferguson can match.  Stephenson has two jumps over 15'6 and five of 15'1 or better.
Brown has five jumps of at least 15'2.  Moore has five jumps of at least 15'0.  11 in
the field have surpassed 15'.  7 have done it more than once.  Tucker's Elizabeth
Nichols is one of just three to top 16', but her 2nd best jump is just 14'8.

Shot	1.  Aiyana Kachmarek	Tucker
	2.  Laura Taylor	St. Marys
	3.  Whitney Jemison	St. Marys
	4.  Gina Marks		Charleston Catholic
	5.  Sydney Blatt	Paden City
	6.  Rylee Cunningham	Williamstown
Kachmarek has five throws of 34'.  Taylro has the top throw in the field and three
over 34'.  Jemison has a 33' and a pair of 32's.  Marks has been very consistent.  Her
top throw only stands as 8th best, but her 5th best throw ranks 3rd among the field's
5th best throws.  Blatt has a 33' toss, but no others over 32'.  Cunningham has three
over 32', but two of those were in early April.  8 in the field have topped 32'.
9 have topped 31'.

Discus	1.  Aiyana Kachmarek	Tucker
	2.  Melissa Cieslewski	Williamstown
	3.  Laura Taylor	St. Marys
	4.  Abigail Buchan	Valley Fayette
	5.  Rylee Cunningham	Williamstown
	6.  Fredricah Gardner	Pocahontas
Kachmarek has the top throw in the field by 16', but it's also her best by 14'.  She
has 3 throws over 110'.  No one else has more than one.  Cieslewski has the only other
throw over 110'.  Taylor only has the 6th best top throw, but she's one of only three
with three throws over 103' and one of just two with five 100' throws.  Buchan has
topped 100' four times.  Cunningham has the 3rd best top throw but has only topped
100' twice.  Gardner has topped 100' three times.  7 have topped 100'.  8 have topped
99'.

High Point Predictions
1.  Madelin Gardner	Williamstown		38
2.  Sarah Ferguson	Doddridge		36
3.  Payton Mullens	Charleston Catholic	22.25
4.  Hannah Carreon	Clay-Battelle		20.50
5.  Aiyana Kachmarek	Tucker			20
5.  Cami Mossor		Williamstown		20