Class AAA Boys Individual Event Predictions
 
At this time, it doesn't look like I'll have time to provide the reasoning behind the picks.  If
I'm able, I'll add that later.  For now, here are the picks.
 
100 M	1.  Dante Price		Jefferson
	2.  Ramon Edwards	Woodrow Wilson
	3.  Nikko Wesley	Woodrow Wilson
	4.  Zach Tilley		Woodrow Wilson
	5.  Bryce Ingram	Wheeling Park
	6.  Garrett Grove	Greenbrier East
Price and Edwards square off.  Edwards has been under 11 FAT twice.  Price is the defending Champion.
I go with Price.  Possible places go about 12 deep.
 
200 M	1.  Dante Price		Jefferson
	2.  Cam Viney		Elkins
	3.  Garrett Grove	Greenbrier East
	4.  Nikko Wesley	Woodrow Wilson
	5.  Josh Ferguson	Musselman
	6.  Ramon Edwards	Woodrow Wilson
Price has 5 times better than anyone else's best.  Things get pretty close after that.  3 have been
under 22.50.  9 have been under 23.00.  
 
400 M	1.  Cam Viney		Elkins
	2.  Sam Pyles		Winfield
	3.  Andrew Archer	Bridgeport
	4.  Steven Handley	Hurricane
	5.  Aaron Lloyd		Hedgesville
	6.  Jacob Kilgore	Spring Valley
Viney is the defending champion and the only one to have gone under 50 seconds so far.  Only 3 have
been under 51 seconds, and one of those is Jacob Burcham, who I think gets pulled from this to run
the 4x400 or the 4x800.  Pyles has a pair of runs under 51.  7 total have been under 52.
 

 
800 M	1.  Jacob Burcham	Cabell Midland
	2.  Brian Lawhon	Cabell Midland
	3.  Mason Dino		Cabell Midland
	4.  Nicholas Bauer	Martinsburg
	5.  Andrew Lyons	Parkersburg
	6.  Joe Kirtner		Winfield
Burcham is the obvious and clear favorite.  Lawhon and Dino have been under 1:58 and will be more
fresh than the rest.  Bauser has a 1:58 to his name and will also have the benefit of having not
run the 1600.  Lyons only has the 7th best time in the group, but I think the 1600 is going to be
just enough of a drain on some of the others to elevate him.  Kirtner has the 4th best top time
and has more runs under 2:00 than anyone else, but if he's set on trying to run his 4:14 or better
1600, it could burn him in the 800.  Eric Graf has also gone under 2:00, but if he tries to fight
Kirtner for 2nd in the 1600, he'll be in the same situation as Kirtner.
will be more fresh than most of the others.

1600 M	1.  Jacob Burcham	Cabell Midland
	2.  Joe Kirtner		Winfield
	3.  Eric Graf		Jefferson
	4.  Andrew Milliron	Jefferson
	5.  Jordan Brown-Stobbe	University
	6.  Tyler Salmons	Cabell Midland
Burcham is again the clear favorite, though his cushion is actually just 6 seconds.  If he does stay
in the open 400, it could make this an upset possibility.  Kirtner has a 4:14 on his resume.  Graf
has a 4:19 and a pair of 4:20's.  Then things get very tight.  2.6 seconds separate the top times of
the next 3 guys.  Less than 4 seconds separate 4th from 7th.  Then a three second gap, and you have
8 more guys within 4.3 seconds.  You have to love a field in which every single competitor has cracked
4:40.  We have 3 that have been under 4:20 and 7 that have been under 4:30.  Milliron has a 4:25, but
Brown-Stobbe and Salmons have been under 4:30 twice, and Milliron has not.
 
3200 M	1.  Jacob Burcham	Cabell Midland
	2.  Eric Graf		Jefferson
	3.  Joe Kirtner		Winfield
	4.  Jordan Brown-Stobbe	University
	5.  Peter Schwarzenberg	Preston
	6.  Tyler Salmons	Cabell Midland
Burcham is again the prohibitive favorite with a top time 24 seconds ahead of anyone else's.  Graf is
the favorite for 2nd.  I'm not convinced that Kirtner will even run this.  I originally left him out,
but where I put him, it didn't end up changing their place, so I put him back in.  I won't be surprised
if he sits this out to save it for the 1600.  Brown-Stobbe joins those three as the only ones to have
been under 9:30.  5 more have been under 9:40, and 2 more have been under 9:45.  This should be a very
entertaining race.  
 
110 HH	1.  Cam Viney		Elkins
	2.  Travis Merritt	Woodrow Wilson
	3.  Nate Moore		Cabell Midland
	4.  Luke Martin		Winfield
	5.  Malcolm Lee		Musselman
	6.  Neil Scherich	Fairmont Senior
Viney is the clear favorite with 5 runs that are better than anyone else's best by over 0.3 seconds.
Merritt is the only other one with multiple sub-15's.  Moore is the only other one to have gone under
15, but he did that in March and hasn't duplicated it.  
 

 
300 IH	1.  Cam Viney		Elkins
	2.  Luke Martin		Winfield
	3.  Ashton Hyler	Jefferson
	4.  Evan Rhodes		Parkersburg
	5.  Andrew Archer	Bridgeport
	6.  D.C. Banks		Wheeling Park
Viney is the defending champion, has the only sub-39 in the group, has a top time that is 1.1 seconds
better than anyone else's best, and is the only one with multiple sub-40 runs.  Martin hasn't gone 
under 40, but has been under 40.2 four times.  Hyler has been under 40.  5 have been under 41.
 
4x100 M	1.  Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Jefferson
	3.  Musselman
	4.  Wheeling Park
	5.  Hurricane
	6.  Riverside
This should be a battle between Woodrow Wilson and Jefferson, but it looks like Woodrow has the edge.
They are the only ones to have been under 44 seconds, and Woodrow has been under 43.  6 have been under
45.
 
4x200 M	1.  Jefferson
	2.  Woodrow Wilson
	3.  Musselman
	4.  Wheeling Park
	5.  Greenbrier East
	6.  Parkersburg
Again, this is a battle between Jefferson and Woodrow Wilson, but this time, it looks like Jefferson
has the advantage.  They have the only sub-1:30 in the group, and they've done it three times.  Woodrow
has the only other run under 1:31.  Musselman has the only other one under 1:32.
 
4x400 M	1.  Cabell Midland
	2.  Jefferson
	3.  Winfield
	4.  Hedgesville
	5.  Martinsburg
	6.  Woodrow Wilson
I think Cabell Midland moves Jacob Burcham here rather than the 4x800.  They can also add Jacob
Reynolds to the lineup if he's healthy enough.  I think that's enough to win it, but it should be close.
I show the first five teams within 1 second of each other.  I elevated Winfield to 3rd on the assumption
that Kirtner moves into their lineup.  After a tough 1600 and 800, though, that may not happen.
 
4x800 M	1.  Cabell Midland
	2.  Jefferson
	3.  Winfield
	4.  Parkersburg
	5.  Hedgesville
	6.  Wheeling Park
I'm hopeful that Cabell Midland will run Burcham in this and take a shot at Hedgesville's State Meet
Record, but I'm not confident.  As noted above, I think he moves into the 4x400 to try to win that
event.  I think they can win the 4x800 without him.  I have Jefferson a pretty solid 2nd.  They might
be able to give Midland a run, but if Lawhon and Dino pull 1:57's, that's going to be hard to deal with.
Winfield could add Kirtner to their mix.  They ran 8:19 without him.  That's worth 6 seconds bare 
minimum and possibly as much as 10, but the way I have it...it's not enough to pass Jefferson.
 
Shuttle	1.  Martinsburg
	2.  Jefferson
	3.  Parkersburg
	4.  Bridgeport
	5.  Parkersburg South
	6.  Musselman
Martinsburg is the only team with more than one run under 59 seconds.  The top 6 teams have top times
within 0.75 seconds of each other.  This should be very tight.  
 
H Jump	1.  Errin Baynes	Wheeling Park
	2.  Garrett Lynch	Parkersburg South
	3.  Kody Geisel		Wheeling Park
	4.  Aaron Snider	Hedgesville
	5.  Lamaj Cooper	Martinsburg
	6.  Malcolm Lee		Musselman 
Baynes may or may not jump.  If he's healthy enough to jump, he'll probably win.  He only jumped in 2
meets this year.  6'10 at the opener, and 6'2 at the Regional.  Lynch is the only other jumper to have
gone higher than 6'4.  He has a 6'7 (at his Regional) and a 6'6.  Geisel is the only other one to have
cleared 6'4.  7 have been over 6'2.
 
P Vault	1.  Nash Thomas		Preston
	2.  Roland Rush		Washington
	3.  Alex Howden		Hurricane
	4.  Logan Cox		Parkersburg South
	5.  Sam Hadjis		Bridgeport
	6.  Rex Rosenberger	Preston
Thomas is the only one to have been higher than 14'0.  He has a 15'0 and a 14'6.  Rush has three 14'0
vaults.  Howden is the only other 14'0 vaulter.  Cox hasn't hit 13'6, but he has four 13'0 vaults.
 
L Jump	1.  Daniel Bleyer	Bridgeport
	2.  Purcell Lash	Princeton
	3.  Errin Baynes	Wheeling Park
	4.  Jesus Diaz		Ripley
	5.  Martinez Grant	Washington
	6.  D.C. Banks		Wheeling Park
The annual long jump mess.  Bleyer is the only one with more than one 21' jump.  11 in the field have
been over 20'.  Only 6 have done it twice.  Baynes may or may not jump.  He won the event last year, 
but his Regional jump (and he jumped only once) was 20'2.  Banks and Bleyer are the only ones with
five 20' jumps.
 

 
Shot	1.  A.J. White		Hurricane
	2.  David Toney		Logan
	3.  Dewanya Neal	Wheeling Park
	4.  Dylon Rippeto	Parkersburg South
	5.  Isaac Johnson	Buckhannon-Upshur
	6.  Travis Miller	Jefferson
White has a top throw 4 1/2 feet further than anyone else.  He's the only one over 50'.  His # 5
throw is better than anyone else's best by over 2'.  Toney had the 2nd best Regional throw and
hit 51' at the State Meet last year.  Neal has a pair of 49' throws.  Guys 4 through 9 are separated
by just 1'.
 
Discus	1.  A.J. White		Hurricane
	2.  Levi Moreland	Hampshire
	3.  Dylon Rippeto	Parkersburg South
	4.  Dewanya Neal	Wheeling Park
	5.  Deric Gibson	Huntington
	6.  Logan Jenkins	Martinsburg
White again looks dominant.  His top throw is nearly 8' ahead of the field.  His #5 throw tops anyone
else's best.  Moreland has topped 150' three times.  Neal is the only other one to have topped 150'.
Rippeto has three over 148'. 

High Point Predictions
1.  Cam Viney		Elkins			38
2.  Jacob Burcham	Cabell Midland		32.50
3.  Dante Price		Jefferson		24.50
4.  A.J. White		Hurricane		20
5.  Joe Kirtner		Winfield		16.50