RunWV Predictions
Class A Boys
Class A Boys Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  Casey Pingley	Valley Wetzel
	2.  Jacob Ortiz		Wahama
	3.  Cory Aichele	Doddridge
	4.  Jonathan Gore	Fayetteville
	5.  Tyler Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
	6.  Ronald Swaniger	Clay-Battelle
Pingley is the defending champion and has the best top time in the field by nearly 0.3 seconds.
Ortiz has stepped forward late in the season.  Aichele has the next best series and has beaten
Ortiz on occasion this year.  Gore actually falls at # 8 on the list, but he scored a 3rd last
year and is very dangerous.  Zahnow and Swaniger have the next best series.  5 have been under
11.50 FAT, and 8 have been under 11.70 FAT.

200 M	1.  Casey Pingley	Valley Wetzel
	2.  Matthew White	Valley Fayette
	3.  Jonathan Gore	Fayetteville
	4.  Jacob Ortiz		Wahama
	5.  Cory Aichele	Doddridge
	6.  Trace Hart		Williamstown
Pingley again stands at the top.  He has the only sub-23 run in the field and has four runs
better than anyone else's best.  White and Gore looked very, very good at the Regional Meet.  
Ortiz scored an impressive 23.09 at a very late season conference meet and has the 2nd best
top time in the field.  Aichele is one of just two in the field with two runs under 23.50.
9 in the field have been under 24, one of which is Derek Renner who I think gets pulled from
this event to be on a relay.

400 M	1.  Derek Renner	St. Marys
	2.  Matthew White	Valley Fayette
	3.  Nathan Tolley	Clay-Battelle
	4.  Zack Cottrill	Doddridge
	5.  Zach Bennett	Richwood
	6.  Jarric Hoskins	Williamstown
Renner has the only sub-51 FAT run, and has the best series with four runs under 52 seconds.
White has a sub-51 hand time and two other runs under 52 seconds.  Those are the only times I've
seen him in the event.  Tolley has also only run the event three times with strong improvement
in each.  Cottrill has a better top time and better overall series than Tolley, but Tolley won
the Regional meeting, so give the nod to him.  Those four are the only ones to have been under
52 seconds.  Two others have been under 53.


800 M	1.  Dylan Rich		Buffalo
	2.  Derek Renner	St. Marys
	3.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	4.  Caden McClanahan	Charleston Catholic
	5.  Will Farkas-Worthy	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Jordan Whitehair	St. Marys
Rich is the only one to have been under 2:00, and he's gone under 1:58 and has been under 2:00
three times.  Renner has only run the open twice, but he's hit 2:03 and 2:00, finishing just
0.36 behind Rich at the Regional.  Shaffer has a 2:01 and a pair of 2:02 runs.  McClanahan hit
a 2:03 in a very hotly contested Regional race in which 8 guys ran under 2:06.  Farkas-Worthy
was a 4th place finisher a year ago and has to be considered dangerous.  Whitehair gets a slight
nod over Evan Childers and Charlie Drazba since that's how it went in the Regional, and he
has a slightly better series.

1600 M	1.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	2.  Evan Childers	Buffalo
	3.  Dylan Rich		Buffalo
	4.  Charlie Drazba	St. Marys
	5.  Jordan Whitehair	St. Marys
	6.  Caleb Moore		Doddridge
Shaffer and Childers both scored under 4:30 at the Gazette Relays with Shaffer edging Childers
for the win.  I see a repeat performance.  Shaffer has better closing speed, and is slightly
faster than Childers at times 1, 2, and 3.  Rich ran a 4:31 at the Gazette Relays which is over
five seconds ahead of anyone else.  He also has a 4:34 to his name.  He has the best 800 speed
of the group and could win it.  Drazba has the next best top time and three runs under 4:40.
Whitehair has a pair of runs under 4:40.  Moore has a better top time than Whitehair, but hasn't
run under 4:40 since March.  7 total have run under 4:40.  9 have run under 4:45.

3200 M	1.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood
	2.  Evan Childers	Buffalo
	3.  Charlie Drazba	St. Marys
	4.  Dylan Rich		Buffalo
	5.  Caleb Moore		Doddridge
	6.  Marcus Black	Charleston Catholic
Shaffer put away the field at the Gazette Relays, and his 9:39 is nearly five seconds ahead of
everyone else.  Childers ran under 9:45 in March and easily has the best series in the group.
Drazba hsa three runs under 10:00.  Rich has a better top time than Drazba.  Moore has a pair
of runs under 10:00.  Black was right behind Moore at the Gazette Relays.  Those 6 have all 
run under 9:56.  None one else has been under 10:17.

110 HH	1.  George Maddox	East Hardy
	2.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge
	3.  Tyler Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
	4.  Dillon Muhly-Alexander Doddridge
	5.  Will Thaxton	Doddridge
	6.  Jesse Taylor	Pocahontas
Maddox only has one FAT run all season, but it was his stellar 15.08 Regional run.  He had some
impressive hand times as well.  Plaugher scored a 15.14 at his Regional and could take the tiels
Zahnow joins Plaugher as the only ones to have 5 FAT runs under 16 seconds.  Muhly-Alexander is
the only other one to have gone under 16 seconds, and he's done it twice.  Taxton has come on
late with three his last three runs being under 17 seconds and each one better than the last.
Two others have been under 17.


300 IH	1.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge
	2.  George Maddox	East Hardy
	3.  Tyler Zahnow	Bishop Donahue
	4.  Dylan Fetty		St. Marys
	5.  Philip Mallory	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Derek Hinkle	Clay-Battelle
Plaugher has the only sub-40 run in the group.  Maddox just missed the mark at his Regional
Meet.  Plaugher does have 5 runs better than Maddox's 2nd best.  Maddox did edge Plaugher for
the title last year, though.  Zahnow's top time is 1.4 second ahead of anyone else's best, and
he has five runs of 41.6 or better.  Those three are the only ones to have been under 42.5  Only
five have been under 43.  8 have been under 44.

4x100 M	1.  Williamstown
	2.  Wahama
	3.  Fayetteville
	4.  Doddridge
	5.  Clay-Battelle
	6.  Pocahontas
Williamstown has a full series of runs under 45.50.  No one else has more than 1.  Wahama's top
time is just 0.09 behind Williamstown.  Doddridge is the only other team to have been under 46.
Fayetteville ran 46.25 at the Regional meet with one of their legs coming right off the 300
Hurdles.  7 have been under 46.4.  11 have been under 47.  This one should be pretty close.

4x200 M	1.  Doddridge
	2.  Williamstown
	3.  Wahama
	4.  Clay-Battelle
	5.  Charleston Catholic
	6.  Valley Wetzel
Doddridge has the top time in the field by over 1.3 seconds and the best overall series and
the best Regional performance.  Williamstown is the only other team to have run under 1:36, and
they've been under 1:35 three times.  Wahama has three runs under 1:37.  Clay-Battelle can add
Ronald Swaniger to their unit which should bolster their time.  5 have been under 1:36.5.  8 have
been under 1:38.

4x400 M	1.  Williamstown
	2.  Charleston Catholic
	3.  St. Marys
	4.  Clay-Battelle
	5.  Doddridge
	6.  Tucker
Williamstown is a slight favorite.  The status of Evan Fowler is unknown.  If he's healthy, he
probably comes onto this unit and makes it even better.  Charleston Catholic ran under 3:37 in
March, so they have to be considered a threat to win it.  I think St. Marys can run 3:36.  I
think Clay-Battelle will drop Swaniger from the 200 and add him to the 4x400.  That may be enough
to move them past Doddridge.

4x800 M	1.  Buffalo
	2.  St. Marys
	3.  Charleston Catholic
	4.  Williamstown
	5.  Doddridge
	6.  Tucker
Buffalo and St. Marys should have a great battle.  I have them both in the 8:18 range.  Buffalo
has a slightly better top time, so I'm giving them the nod.  Charleston Catholic can run under
8:30.  Williamstown and Doddridge should battle for fourth.  If Evan Fowler can run, that will
likely give Williamstown the edge.  Those five have all run 8:55 or better.  No one else has been
under 9:05.

Shuttle	1.  Doddridge
	2.  Bishop Donahue
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Buffalo
	5.  Gilmer
	6.  Pocahontas
Doddridge has a pair of runs under 60 seconds.   No one else has been under 61.  Bishop Donahue
has a pair of runs under 62.  No one else has been under 62.5  Williamstown has the only other
run under 1:03.  Buffalo has the only other runs under 1:04.  Gilmer has the only other run under
1:05.

H Jump	1.  Anthony Aviles	Gilmer
	2.  Dillon Muhly-Alexander Doddridge
	3.  Zane Creamer	South Harrison
	4.  Saquan Hill		Bishop Donahue
	5.  Jesse Taylor	Pocahontas
	6.  Mitchell Mason	Tucker
Aviles cleared 6'8 1/4 at the Gazette Relays and has a 6'5 jump to go along with it.  Muhly-Alexander
has a pair of 6'4 jumps and a 6'3.  Creamer has a 6'3 and a pair of 6'2s.  No one else has cleared
6'0 more than once, and only Taylor has done it once.

P Vault	1.  Keiffer Reed	Charleston Catholic
	2.  Daniel Scott	Wheeling Central
	3.  Alex Marchetti	Williamstown
	4.  Dyllon Hayes	Doddridge
	5.  Mitchell Goertler	Williamstown
	6.  Ian Spencer		Doddridge
Reed has four 14' vaults to his credit, including a 14'6.  Scott has a 14'7 and a 14'0. Marchetti
has a 14'0 and a 13'6.  Hayes is the only other to have cleared 13'0.  Geortler has a pair of
12'6 vaults.  Spencer has four clearances of 12'0, and they've been in his last four meets.  Josh
Lowther has actually cleared 12'6, but that happened in March.  He hasn't been higher than 11'6
since April 17th.

L Jump	1.  Zane Creamer	South Harrison
	2.  Matthew White	Valley Fayette
	3.  Dillon Muhly-Alexander Doddridge
	4.  Dylan Fetty		St. Marys
	5.  Zach Bennett	Richwood
	6.  Crandal Neal	Wahama
Creamer hsa three jumps of at least 20'10 and had the best Regional jump.  I've only seen four
jumps for White, but they've each been at least 20'4.  Muhly-Alexander has the top jump in the
field and the top overall series, but his two best jumps came in early-to-mid April.  Fetty
has a trio of 20' jumps and beat Muhly-Alexander at the LKC Championships.  Bennett also has a
trio of 20' jumps.  Neal has a pair of 20'0 jumps.  In all 9 have jumped 20', and 8 of them have
done it at least twice.


Shot	1.  Devon Carr		Williamstown
	2.  Spencer Mason	Valley Wetzel
	3.  Evan Smith		Williamstown
	4.  Reed Ratliff	Gilmer
	5.  Logan Raines	Williamstown
	6.  Austin Patterson	Clay-Battelle
Carr launched one 55'0 at the LKC Championships and has three 50' throws.  Spencer has also
been over 51' and is the only one in the field with a full series of 49' throws.  Smith has 
a 49' throw and four more over 47'.  Those three have top throws that are over 5' ahead of
anyone else.  Two others have topped 43'.  Three more have been over 42'.

Discus	1.  Isaac Britton	Doddridge
	2.  Spencer Mason	Valley Wetzel
	3.  Devon Carr		Williamstown
	4.  Jimmy Jemison	St. Marys
	5.  Evan Smith		Williamstown
	6.  Alexander Graham	Richwood
Britton has the only 150' throw in the field, and he has four throws that top anyone else's best.
Spencer is the only other one with multiple throws of 140', and he has four of them.  Carr is the
only other one to have hit 140'.  Jemison scored a 139' at the Regional Meet, but his second best
throw is 125'.  Smith has three over 125'.  6 total have hit 125'.  9 have hit 120'.

High Point Predictions
1.  Andrew Shaffer	Richwood		26
2.  Matthew White	Valley Fayette		24
3.  Daniel Plaugher	Doddridge		23
4.  Dylan Rich		Buffalo			22.50
5.  Derek Renner	St. Marys		21.50