RunWV Predictions
Class AAA Boys
Class AAA Boys Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  Marquel Ali		Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Jordan Reed		Hedgesville
	3.  Wesley Eades	Bridgeport
	4.  Terrell Martin	Hurricane
	5.  Brandon Cato	Martinsburg
	6.  Rashif Hill		Riverside
Ali is not the overwhelming favorite that he was a year ago, but he does appear to be
rounding into form at just the right time.  His best five runs have all occurred in his
last three meets, and he's gotten faster in each of the three.  Reed is given the nod over
Eades only because of his regional victory.  However, Eades' top times are all FAT, while
three of Reed's top 5 times are of the hand-held variety, so this one could go the other
way.  Martin's placement is really dependent on the health of his knee.  He made it through
his regional without issue it appears, but it's doubtful that he's 100%.  If he is 100%,
he most likely moves up to at least 2nd.  Cato has been consistently fast, but like Reed,
has very few electronic clockings to really verify what he can do.  He has beaten Reed on 
occasion, so he's a threat to move up.  Hill has been a bit inconsistent, but ran well at 
his regional and easily has the next best series of times.   These six have all achieved
electronic times of 11.10 or better.  No one else has been under 11.33.

200 M	1.  Marquel Ali		Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Wesley Eades	Bridgeport
	3.  Terrell Martin	Hurricane
	4.  Jordan Reed		Hedgesville
	5.  Raheem Waiters	Riverside
	6.  Brandon Cato	Martinsburg
Ali is the defending champion and, as noted above, seems to be hitting his stride at the
right time.  Eades actually has the best series of times and is the only one if the field
with a pair of runs under 22 seconds.  Martin has the best time in the group with his
21.69 at the Gazette Relays.  He's bumped down on the assumption that he is not 100%.
If he is, I think he battles with Ali to the wire.  Reed was very quick at the Gazette 
Relays and at his Regional.  Waiters actually has a better series than Reed and could move
up.  Cato also has a better series than Reed.  Among the remaining competitors, only
Todd Banners of Princeton and Jonathan Chambers of Hedgesville have run under 23 seconds.

400 M	1.  Terrell Martin	Hurricane
	2.  Wesley Eades	Bridgeport
	3.  Khiry Timbers	Martinsburg
	4.  Brandon McKinley	Wheeling Park
	5.  Brandon Cato	Martinsburg
	6.  Brandon Hyler	Jefferson
Martin may not be 100% healthy, but this is probably still his event.  I was hopeful that
he might take down James Jett's 47.70 record this year, but with the late season injury,
that is doubtful.  Eades has also gone under 49 seconds this season, and was a little
faster than Martin in their respective regionals.  Eades and Martin have been under 50
seconds three times each.  Timbers has eclipsed the 50 second barrier twice and is the
only other one in the field to have done it.  Cato and McKinley is really a toss-up.
McKinley has a better top time.  Cato has been under 50.2 twice.  McKinley has a slightly
better overall series, so I'm giving him the edge.  Hyler has run a 50.2, so the potential
is there for him to move up.  However, he will have to do his damage from the 1st heat
as his regional performace was not enough to get him into the fast heat.  St. Albans' 
Andy Bailey is the most prominent threat to break into this group.  His last three runs
have been between 51.28 and 51.32.


800 M	1.  David Bias		Cabell Midland
	2.  Andy Bailey		St. Albans
	3.  Khiry Timbers	Martinsburg
	4.  Ryan Beabout	Wheeling Park
	5.  Matt Schiffbauer	University
	6.  Aaron Ross		Cabell Midland
Bias' top time is over 2.5 seconds faster than anyone else.  The 1600 earlier in the day
could zap Bias a little and make him beatable in this event.  Bailey is the only other 
competitor with multiple runs under 2:00.  He and Bias have each done it twice.  Timbers
doesn't have the next best time or the next best series.  I just think his speed is going
to be difficult to deal with.  Beabout is the only runner aside from the top two to have
run under 2:00.  Schiffbauer should be relatively fresh and has the 4th fastest time in
the field and three runs under 2:02.  I'm giving Ross the edge for 6th mostly because
he won't have run the 1600 earlier in the day.  There really isn't anyone in the field
who isn't a threat to place.  University's Chris Cole was the last qualifier, and I know
he's split a 1:59 for the 4x800.  The 1600 could prove to be damaging to the 800 for
North Marion's Zach Tennant and Cole (along with Beabout).  Riverside's James Ivey and
Hurricane Nick Mohebbi have a pair of runs under 2:03.

1600 M	1.  Ryan Beabout	Wheeling Park
	2.  Zach Tennant	North Marion
	3.  Chris Cole		University
	4.  David Bias		Cabell Midland
	5.  Lance Wheeler	St. Albans
	6.  Carson Schambaugh	John Marshall
Beabout is the only one to have gone under 4:23.  He's done that twice, including the top
time of 4:18.71.  He has three runs under 4:25.  However, he's not as far ahead of the 
field as he was last year, and someone managed to come up and get him then, so it's not
a given that he will win this event.  I'm giving Tennant the edge over Cole.  Their top
times are so similar, there's really not much to differentiate the two.  This is just
one of those gut feeling things. Bias has the speed to be a factor in this race, but at the 
Gazette's he just let Cole go.  It may be questionable whether or not he really tries to 
run with those three.  I'm giving Wheeler the edge over Schambaugh on a slightly better 
series.  These six have all run under 4:35.  South Charleston's David Caldwell, Musselman's 
Louie Talbott, and Jefferson's Chris Ledden have all run under 4:37, but none have been 
under 4:40 more than once.  The front six have all been under 4:40 at least three times.  

3200 M	1.  Ryan Beabout	Wheeling Park
	2.  David Bias		Cabell Midland
	3.  David Caldwell	South Charleston
	4.  Alex Zurbuch	Elkins
	5.  Cory Hampshire	Jefferson
	6.  David Ciarolla	Fairmont Senior
Beabout is far ahead of the field...34 seconds to be exact.  He's only run the event even
remotely hard 4 times, and his fourth best time is 18 seconds better than anyone else's
best.  The runners with the 2nd and 3rd best times in the state (Schiffbauerand Tennant) 
elected not to compete in the event at their Regional Meets.  Bias gets the nod for 2nd
as he has the next best time and three runs under 10:00.  Caldwell has the next best time
and has been under 10:00 twice.  Zurbuch has a pair of runs under 10:00 and has come up
with good performances at the State Meet the last two seasons.  Hampshire also has a pair
of runs under 10:00 and actually has a better top time than Zurbuch.  Ciarolla hasn't gone
under 10:00 yet, but he does have three under 10:10, including a 10:02 at his regional.  
There are three other runners who have run under 10:00, but none have gone under 10:10 a
second time.  Those three are University's Ethan Elliott, Capital's Sean Cantrell, and
Wheeling Park's Russell Mulley.


110 HH	1.  Drake Kinzel	Cabell Midland
	2.  John Gadomski	Greenbrier East
	3.  Marquise Woods	Hedgesville
	4.  David Acly		Jefferson
	5.  Lamar Harvey	Martinsburg
	6.  Trevor Wilburn	St. Albans
Kinzel has at least five runs under 15 seconds while no one else has more than two.  He also
has the top time in the event by 0.18.  Gadomski is the only other competitor with more than
one sub-15 run to his credit, and he knocked off Kinzel at the Gazette Relays.  Woods and
Acly each have one run under 15 seconds.  Woods is given the nod because his sub-15 was
electronic and Acly's was hand-held and because Woods won the regional battle.  Harvey
has been consistently fast since mid-April.  Wilburn's top two times are better than
Harvey's, but the overall series isn't as good.  This could easily go the other way.
John Marshall's Mark Sampson and Nicholas' Chris Waybright could contend as well.

300 IH	1.  Drake Kinzel	Cabell Midland
	2.  Mark Sampson	John Marshall
	3.  Dakota Litton	Hurricane
	4.  Lamar Harvey	Martinsburg
	5.  Ryan Ramsby		Cabell Midland
	6.  Michael Meadows	Buckhannon-Upshur
Kinzel is the only one in the field to have gone under 40 seconds more than once, and he's
done it three times.  Sampson has the next best time and has at least five runs under 41
seconds.  Litton has the next best time and has three runs of 40.2 or better.  I've actually
switched Sampson and Litton three times while writing this.  Harvey is the last competitor
to have gone under 40 seconds and has two other runs under 41.  Ramsby has a pair of runs
under 40.4.  Meadows has been very consistently fast with at least 5 runs under 41.  Also
in the mix should be Parkersburg's Justin Howe, who's top time is faster than Ramsby or
Meadows, Brooke's Jim McFarland, who also has at least five runs under 41, and North 
Marion's Matthew Hollandsworth, who has a 40.28 to his credit.  No one else in the field
has run under 41.

4x100 M	1.  Woodrow Wilson
	2.  Riverside
	3.  Wheeling Park
	4.  Hedgesville
	5.  Jefferson
	6.  George Washington
I'm going with Woodrow because of very strong Conference and Regional performances and 
having Ali to anchor their relay.  Riverside has a very solid group and the next best 
top time.  Wheeling Park has run under 44 twice and had the second best regional 
performance in the field.  Hedgesville has a lot of team speed and is a real threat in this
event.  Jefferson actually has the top time in the State this year, but I'm going on the 
assumption that they will still be without Keenan Delawder who is out with an injury 
sustained at the Gazette Relays.  George Washington easily has the next best time but 
they'll have to sneak in from the first heat as their regional time was over a second
off their Conference performance.  Morgantown, Parkersburg, and Cabell Midland appear to
be the next biggest threats.


4x200 M	1.  Wheeling Park
	2.  Riverside
	3.  Hedgesville
	4.  Jefferson
	5.  George Washington
	6.  Parkersburg
I'm going with Park in this one based on their very strong Conference performance.  
Riverside has a pair of runs under 1:31.5.  Hedgesville again is very deep and had the
second fastest regional performance.  Jefferson actually has far and away the top time
in the field.  Their 1:30.06 on April 16th is over a second faster than anyone else, but
the best they've done since is 1:31.36 and again I'm assuming that Delawder won't be
available.  George Washington has a pair of runs in the low 1:32's.  Parkersburg easily
has the next best time.

4x400 M	1.  Martinsburg
	2.  Wheeling Park
	3.  Hurricane
	4.  Jefferson
	5.  Cabell Midland
	6.  Parkersburg South
Martinsburg and Wheeling Park have both been in the 3:27's.  Park has actually been under
3:30 three times, but it looks to me like Martinsburg has slightly more potential, and
since they do have the best time coming in, I'm giving them the edge.  Hurricane is a
bit of a surprise pick as they only have the 6th best time in the field, but when I look
at their personnel, I think they can run 3:27.  Jefferson is the only other team in the
field to have gone under 3:30.  Their regional performance almost left them in the first
heat, but it looks like they squeezed into the hot heat at # 8.  I think they can go in
the 3:28 range as can Cabell Midland.  I think Parkersburg South can run under 3:30 as 
well.  George Washington has a better top time than South and could move into a scoring
spot.


4x800 M	1.  Cabell Midland
	2.  St. Albans
	3.  Wheeling Park
	4.  University
	5.  Musselman
	6.  Hampshire
Cabell Midland looks like the class of the field.  They've already gone 8:09, and I think
they can do a couple seconds better.  I don't think anyone else can get down there.  
St. Albans and Wheeling Park should battle for 2nd.  I think both can go around 8:12.
University's best time is 8:28, but they ran that without Schiffbauer.  I think with 
Schiffbauer and Cole in the lineup, they can run around 8:15.  Musselman and Hampshire
both ran in the 8:16's at their regional meet.  It was such a hotly contested race, though,
that I tend to doubt there's any more in the tank for either.  Jefferson is very much
a threat to place, as is George Washington.  Though they haven't shown it, I think GW could
run an 8:18.  Bridgeport may find themselves in the mix as well.


Shuttle	1.  Cabell Midland
	2.  Hedgesville
	3.  Jefferson
	4.  East Fairmont
	5.  Wheeling Park
	6.  Brooke
This has been Cabell Midland's event all season.  I'm hopeful that they'll take a shot at
the record (55.86) which has stood since 1981, but they're still a half second off right
now.  Hedgesville is given the edge over Jefferson based on a better overall series and
a regional victory.  East Fairmont stepped up a level at their regional meet.  Brooke
has a better overall series than Wheeling Park, but Park has a better top time and won
the regional battle, so I'm giving the nod to Wheeling Park.  St. Albans and Parkersburg
have each been under 60 seconds twice and Greenbrier East did it at their regional, so
all three of those teams are definite threats.

L Jump	1.  Cody Servetas	Buckhannon-Upshur
	2.  Wesley Eades	Bridgeport
	3.  Ryan Ramsby		Cabell Midland
	4.  Jordan Swiger	Robert C. Byrd
	5.  Casey Johnson	Jefferson
	6.  Dewey McDonald	Jefferson
This is an outstanding field.  8 jumpers have gone past 21' during the season, and all
eight have done it at least three times.  Servetas has to be viewed as the favorite.  His
23'5 1/4 jump is over a foot further than anyone else.  He actually has 4 jumps further
than anyone else's best.  Eades is the defending champion and has three 22' jumps to his
credit and a 5th best jump of 21'9.  Ramsby is the only other jumper with more than one
22' jump.  He has a pair over 22', and his top five are all over 21'.  Swiger has the only
other 22' jump and his top five are all at least 21'4.  Johnson has five jumps between
21'3 1/2 and 21'8 1/2.  McDonald has battled injury but still has three 21' jumps including
a 21'10 1/2, which is further than Johnson's best.  Taylor Hockman of Hedgesville and 
Lavythan Davis of Martinsburg are the other primary threats with their three 21' jumps each.


H Jump	1.  Chris Deaner	Hedgesville
	2.  Cody Servetas	Buckhannon-Upshur
	3.  Trevor Wilburn	St. Albans
	4.  Jordan Swiger	Robert C. Byrd
	5.  Dewey McDonald	Jefferson
	6.  Daniel Jarrell	Cabell Midland
Deaner and Servetas have an identical series of jumps...one at 6'8, three at 6'6, and one
at 6'5.  I'm giving the nod to Deaner because two of his occurred in recent meets, while
only one did for Servetas.  Wilburn is one of three other jumpers to have cleared 6'6, and
he has the next best series.  Swiger also has a 6'6 leap and a series only slightly lower
than Wilburn.  McDonald opened the season with a 6'6 jump but has battled injury through
most of the season.  Don't be surprised if he places higher, possibly much higher.  Jarrell
is finally starting to jump the way that is expected.  His top two jumps have been in his
last two meets.


Shot	1.  cole Bowers		Cabell Midland
	2.  Brandon Flint	Parkersburg
	3.  Dustin Peters	Martinsburg
	4.  Maurice Newby	Hedgesville
	5.  Denver Effland	Hedgesville
	6.  Chris Young		St. Albans
Bowers has only the third best top throw, but is the only thrower to have surpassed 50'
three times and has the best overall series.  Flint has topped 50' twice and has the next
best series.  Peters is a definite threat to win as he has the only 51' toss in the field,
but his second best effort is a foot and a half less.  Newby has a 50' toss and a pair of
49's and all five of his best are at least 48'6.  Effland has really stepped up late in
the season with his two best throws coming in his last two meets.  Young has the next best
series.  Also watch out for Hampshire's Jayme Watson who does have a 50' toss to his credit.
However, his next best effort is 47'8, and he only has three over 45'.

Discus	1.  Dustin Peters	Martinsburg
	2.  Matt Davis		Hampshire
	3.  Brandon Flint	Parkersburg
	4.  Seth Myers		Wheeling Park
	5.  Cole Bowers		Cabell Midland
	6.  Raheem Waiters	Riverside
Peters is the latest in a long line of Martinsburg discus throwers.  He has at least five
throws over 150' while no one else has more than two.  He also has a throw of 165'8 1/2 in 
the books, which is the best in the field by over 6'.  Davis is the only other thrower with
more than one 150' toss, and he has the next best series.  Flint's series is just slightly
off that of Davis, and they are the only other two with at least five throws of 140'.  
Myers has the next best series and a top throw that is better than either Davis or Flint.
Bowers actually has the second best top throw in the field with a 159'3 effort at the 
Gazette Relays.  However, he has no other throws over 140'.  Waiters has a pair of 147'
throws and the next best overall series.  St. Albans' Chris Young and Hedgesville's
Shawn Miller are the only other throwers to have topped 140', and each has done it twice.



P Vault	1.  Eric Ripley		Wheeling Park
	2.  James Oliver	Wheeling Park
	3.  Cody Fluharty	Wheeling Park
	4.  Ben Pockl		John Marshall
	5.  Joe Reed		Parkersburg South
	6.  Nathan Lafata	Morgantown
Ripley has topped 13' three times.  No one else has done it once.  Oliver and Fluhart
each have a pair of 12'6 vaults.  Oliver has a better overall series.  Pockl has a 12'6
vault and three 12'0 vaults.  Reed has a 12'6 and a pair of 12's.  Lafata has a 12'6 
and a 12' vault.  University's Nathan Edwards has an identical series to Lafata, but Lafata
got his 12'6 at the regional meet.  Cabell Midland's Brian Dilcher has also cleared 12'6
on the season.


High Point Predicitons
1.  Wesley Eades	Bridgeport		30
2.  Ryan Beabout	Wheeling Park		25.50
3.  David Bias		Cabell Midland		24.50
4.  Marquel Ali		Woodrow Wilson		22.50
4.  Drake Kinzel	Cabell Midland		22.50