Class A Boys Individual Event Predictions

100 M	1.  Brandon Belcher	Williamson
	2.  Timmy Hatcher	Williamson
	3.  Josh McKee		Wheeling Central
	4.  Donald Butcher	St. Marys
	5.  Travis Wilson	South Harrison
	6.  Chris Klemm		Wheeling Central
The probably favorite in this event was Chris Fleming, but he was disqualified
in the Regional Meet.  That moved Brandon Belcher to the forefront.  He has
by far the strongest series of times.  Teammate Timmy Hatcher has closed on
him recently.  Things get very tight after that.  Josh McKee gets the nod for
3rd despite only running the event sparingly this year.  He was a placer last
year and gets stronger as the year goes on.  Donald Butcher has been very 
solid since taking up the event in mid-season.  Travis Wilson looked solid
in winning his region, and Chris Klemm was close on the heels of McKee in the
Regional final.  Realistically, there are about 10 or 11 guys that could place
in this event.

200 M	1.  Chris Fleming	Greenbrier West
	2.  Brandon Belcher	Williamson
	3.  Josh McKee		Wheeling Central
	4.  Eric Novick		Wheeling Central
	5.  Donald Butcher	St. Marys
	6.  Timmy Hatcher	Williamson
Chris Fleming should take this one.  His number 5 time is better than anyone
else's best verified time.  Brandon Belcher has a 21.9 that we were unable to
verify and looked strong in his regional meet.  We leapfrogged McKee to
3rd based on his # 2 finish from a year ago and his strength gained from 
focusing on the 400 this year.  Novick won't have any hurdles in his way
for this one.  Butcher ran very well in his regional meet and could easily
climb a couple spots.  Hatcher, as in the 100, has come on strong late 
and could easily move up.  Chris Green and Brad Anderson of Williamstown 
could easily factor in as well.

400 M	1.  Josh McKee		Wheeling Central
	2.  Donald Butcher	St. Marys
	3.  Nathan Tucker	Wheeling Central
	4.  Robbie Sherrard	Charleston Catholic	
	5.  Joe Dufflemyer	Doddridge
	6.  Nathan Bard		Richwood
McKee has the fastest best time and the fastest 2nd best time.  He's the 
only one of the group to have been under 51 seconds.  His top two showings
have been in his last two meets.  Butcher has been under 52 twice, nearly
slipped under 51 at the Ripley Invitational, and has the best overall series
of times.  Tucker is the only returning placer and aslo has his best three
performances in his 3 most recent meets.  Sherrard gets the nod over 
Dufflemyer for a better regional performance and having his top performances
more recently.  That one could go either way.  Bard ran in the low 52's 
last year in the Class AA meet and popped off a good one in his regional meet.

800 M	1.  Bobby Herron	Wheeling Central
	2.  David Orejuela	Doddridge
	3.  John Matherly	Charleston Catholic
	4.  Robbie Sherrard	Charleston Catholic
	5.  Tim Burdette	Williamstown
	6.  Nathan Rittenhouse	Pocahontas
Herron has sat atop the charts most of the season.  He has the strength and
the speed to take the event.  The 1600 earlier in the day could make him
vulnerable in this event, though.  Orejuela has been coming on in this event
with his top two times in his last two meets.  However, he will also be coming
off the 1600.  Matherly doesn't have the next best time or the next best
series of times, but he didn't have those things the last two years either
when he snagged 2nd place both times.  He tends to come through with the big
performance at the State Meet, so we're taking him 3rd out of fear he might win
it.  Sherrard has the 2nd best series of times and could easily place higher.
He and Herron are the only ones with multiple sub 2:05 clockings.  Burdette
was strong at his regional and very strong at his conference meet, finishing
ahead of Orejuela.  Rittenhouse looked very good at his regional meet.  There
are five others who have been under 2:08, including Doddridge's Jason Oldaker
who has been under 2:06 and Richwood's Tim Jones who has been under 2:07.

1600 M	1.  Bobby Herron	Wheeling Central
	2.  David Orejuela	Doddridge
	3.  Nathan Rittenhouse	Pocahontas
	4.  Tim Jones		Richwood
	5.  Chad Henson		Williamstown
	6.  Levi Grandt		Doddridge
Herron is the odds on favorite with two performances that top Orejuela's best.
Orejuela has knocked off Andrew Benford, the Class AA favorite twice this year
and is definitely a threat.  Rittenhouse is the only other competitor to go
under 4:40 and has been showing better speed in recent weeks.  Things are 
really a mess after this, with 6 guys within 5 seconds of each other, and 
there's two others in the miex that placed last year not in that group.  We 
gave the 4th place nod to Jones out of respect for the ability he showed in 
Cross Country to step it up in the big competition.  Henson has the 4th best 
time and solid speed. Grandt actually has the 4th best series of times and 
could move up.  Caleb Enright, Jamie Sheridan, Jamie Blair, and Ian Beckner
could be factors as well.

3200 M	1.  Bobby Herron	Wheeling Central
	2.  Nathan Rittenhouse	Pocahontas
	3.  Levi Grandt		Doddridge
	4.  Tim Jones		Richwood
	5.  Jamie Sheridan	Charleston Catholic
	6.  Dusty Rogers	Wirt
The top three have essentially the same best time, all falling with 0.19 of
each other.  Herron, just like last year, has only run the event twice.  He
appears to have the best finishing speed of the three.  Rittenhouse is the
only one to have been under 10:00 more than once.  Grandt has a number of
strong finishes and could rise to the top if Herron and Rittenhouse take
things out too quickly.  Jones could easily fit into the top 3, possibly 
even taking the event.  He showed in Cross Country what he can do when in
the underdog role.  Sheridan was very strong running on the same schedule
at the Gazette Relays.  Rogers has had his top two performances in his two
most recent meets.  As many as four other guys could factor into the
finishing.

110 HH	1.  Eric Novick		Wheeling Central
	2.  John Rogers		Richwood
	3.  Andy Nottingham	South Harrison	
	4.  Donald Butcher	St. Marys
	5.  Dwight Holden	Doddridge
	6.  Cody Reinhold	Richwood
Novick isn't quite as dominant in this event as he was last year, but
he still comes in as the prohibitive favorite.  Rogers has been very
steady and very fast late in the season.  Nottingham probably has the
most potential to have a breakthrough race and knock off Novick.
Butcher has a slightly better series than Holden, with Holden having
a slightly better series than Reinhold.  Matt Craddock and Justin
Stoehr also have excellent chances to slip in for a place, and 
possibly a high one.

300 IH	1.  Eric Novick		Wheeling Central
	2.  Andy Nottingham	South Harrison
	3.  Cody Reinhold	Richwood
	4.  Dwight Holden	Doddridge
	5.  Matt Craddock	Mount Hope
	6.  Jonathan Burns	Pocahontas
Novick is the favorite.  Just as last year, he's the only one who has
gone under 40 seconds.  Nottingham has clearly the next best series
of times.  Reinhold's best time is over 1/2 second faster than the
remaining field.  Holden is the only other runner to go under 42.
Craddock has a similar series to Holden, just a half-step behind
through the first three times.  There's really 6 guys that were looked
at for the 6th spot.  We went with Burns as he had the best time of
the group for each of the first 3 times.

4x100 M 1.  Wheeling Central
	2.  Williamson
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  St. Marys
	5.  South Harrison
	6.  Pocahontas
Wheeling Central is a strong favorite.  Williamson is the most likely
to pull off the upset.  Williamstown has a solid contingent with 4
clockings udner 47 seconds.  St. Marys had a mid-46 showing at its
conference meet with a unit that should be available for the State
Meet.  Southe Harrison has been a very steady low 47.  Pocahontas
has the next best time and 3 showings under 48.  Beware of Greenbrier
West.  They could add Chris Fleming to this relay and get into the
mix.

4x200 M	1.  Wheeling Central
	2.  Doddridge
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Pocahontas
	5.  St. Marys
	6.  Greenbrier West
Wheeling Central is far and away the class of the field.  Doddridge
and Williamstown are very tight.  Williamstown had a slightly better
regional time.  Doddridge beat Williamstown at the conference meet
but was disqualified.  Pocahontas showed at the Gazette Relays that
they are a factor in this event.  St. Marys has been solid in their
last two outings.  Greenbrier West can add Chris Fleming to their
lineup and should move up into the placing spots.  They'll have to
do it from the 1st heat, though.

4x400 M	1.  Charleston Catholic
	2.  Doddridge
	3.  St. Marys
	4.  Greenbrier West
	5.  Williamstown
	6.  Pocahontas
Charleston Catholic and Doddridge are nearly identical in this event 
in terms of what we see as possibilities.  Since Charleston Cathlic
was given the nod due to a superior regional performance. Doddridge's
top two runs came in mid-April.  Both could hit 3:36 if they run
well.  St. Marys has a solid group that could turn 3:37 or 3:38.
Greenbrier West could knock several seconds off their time if they
add Chris Fleming to the mix.  Williamstown could climb higher.
Pocahontas has a solid contingent that could easily move up if they
all run well.

4x800 M	1.  Doddridge
	2.  St. Marys
	3.  Williamstown
	4.  Charleston Catholic
	5.  Bishop Donahue
	6.  Pocahontas
Doddridge is clearly out front.  They've gone 16 seconds faster than
anyone else and can conceivably go under 8:20.  The next three could
be very tight.  We can see each of them going under 8:35.  We're going
with St. Marys for 2nd as they've been the steadiest.  Williamstown
could give them a run.  Charleston Catholic could knock them both
off.  The next three teams are also very tight.  We went with Bishop
Donahue since they've been a little quicker than the other two.
Pocahontas could move up with Rittenhouse on the anchor leg.  Richwood
should also be in the mix.

Shuttle	1.  Richwood
	2.  Williamstown
	3.  Doddridge
	4.  Wheeling Central
	5.  South Harrison
	6.  Wirt
Richwood is the only one of the group to have been under 60 seconds
and have at least 5 clockings under 61.  Williamstown had an 
excellent regional run and should grab the 2nd spot.  Doddridge looks
like a solid 3rd.  If Wheeling Central would scratch Novick from
the 200 or the 4x200 and add him here, they could contend for the 
title.  This placing assumes they will not do that.  South Harrison
has a solid hurdling contingent and Nottingham for an anchor.  Wirt
came up big in the regional.  Mount Hope, St. Marys, and Pocahontas
could easily factor into this event, which almost always features
disqualifications and stumbles.

L Jump	1.  Cody Reinhold	Richwood
	2.  Chris Green		Williamstown
	3.  Sky Gwinn		Meadow Bridge
	4.  Nathan Bard		Richwood
	5.  Andy Nottingham	South Harrison
	6.  Alex Wilson		Wirt
Reinhold has been the most consistent jumper with at least 5 jumps
over 19' while no one else has more than 3.  Green had one massive
leap of over 21' and could win the event, though his second best
showing is only 18'7 3/4.  Gwinn is one of only two in the field
to have gone past 20'.  Bard and Nottingham have 3 jumps over
19' with Bard being slightly ahead at each spot.  Wilson has
the next best series.  As usual, just about the entire field has a 
legitimate shot at placing.

H Jump	1.  Jeff Petitt		Midland Trail
	2.  Arron Lantz		South Harrison
	3.  Cory Foster		St. Marys
	4.  Joe Dufflemyer	Doddridge
	5.  Ross Elder		Williamstown
	6.  Andrew Gracik	Bishop Donahue
Petitt gets the nod on the strength of being the defending champion.
Lantz has the most jumps over 6'0.  Foster has also cleared 6'0 but
did not do so at his regional meet.  Dufflemyer and Elder are the only
other jumpers to clear 5'10.  Each did it at their regional, but
Dufflemyer has done it in his last two meets, beating Elder at the
conference meet.  Gracik gets the nod over Jason Malcomb for the
6th spot.  Each have a pair of 5'8 jumps, but Gracik has done it
in his last two meets.

Shot	1.  Tyrone Powell	Mount Hope
	2.  Todd Cupp		St. Marys
	3.  Sean Rohrig		Wheeling Central
	4.  Tad Light		St. Marys
	5.  Scott Davis		Williamstown
	6.  Val Culp		Mount Hope
Powell has the top throw of the group and the best regional 
performance.  Cupp has a pair of tosses over 49'.  Rohrig just
missed a 50' toss at the end of April.  The top 3 have all been
past 49'.  The next best toss is 46'1, and that belongs to Light
who easily has the next best series.  Davis has a pair of solid
tosses late in the season.  Culp looks to be peaking at the right
time and could pass Davis.  

Discus	1.  Josh Burns		St. Marys
	2.  Tyrone Powell	Mount Hope
	3.  Scott Davis		Williamstown
	4.  Zach Ueltschy	Valley Wetzel
	5.  Greg Reed		Doddridge
	6.  Wes Billups		Williamstown
Burns won the event last year and has at least 5 throws better than
anyone else's best.  Powell is the only other thrower to exceed
140'.  Davis has 4 throws over 130', but his two best tosses came
in early April.  Ueltschy has the next best top toss, and his best
two throws have been in his last two meets.  Reed actually has the
4th best series, but his only two throws over 130' came in mid-April.
Billups had his best throw by over a foot at the Regional Meet and
has been steadily improving in the event throughout the season.

P Vault	1.  Matt Craddock	Mount Hope
	2.  Justice Powers	Williamstown
	3.  Ryan Flowers	Williamstown
	4.  Michael Cottle	Mount Hope
	5.  Benji Powers	Williamstown
	6.  Dustin Kizer	Mount Hope
Craddock has the only 13'6 vault and has a pair of 13' vaults in 
addition.  Justice Powers has a pair of 13' vaults of his own with 
both coming in May.  Flowers is the only other competitor to have 
gone over 12'.  Cottle is the only other competitor to have cleared
11'6.  Benji Powers is the only other one to have gone over 11'.  
A pair of competitors have cleared 10'6 twice, but Kizer also has
a 10' vault to his credit, and the other competitor, Andrew Gracik,
does not, giving the nod to Kizer. 

High Point Predicitons
1.  Bobby Herron	Wheeling Central	30
2.  Eric Novick		Wheeling Central	26.5
3.  Josh McKee		Wheeling Central	24.5
4.  Brandon Belcher	Williamson		20
5.  David Orejuela	Doddridge		20