RunWV Predictions
AA-A Girls
AA Girls Individual Predictions
Individual Predictions
100 M 1. Ebony Jones Philip Barbour
2. Ayreal Thompson Weir
3. Kelly Puterbaugh Winfield
4. Zantana Murray Richwood
5. Danyell Garner Logan
6. Ambria Chambers Ravenswood
Jones was 3rd in the AAA 100 last year and always finishes the season
very strongly. She's already got a number of good times under her
belt and is picking up steam. Thompson is the promising freshman who
could take the event as she actually has a better series of times than
Jones. Puterbaugh had the best regional mark and has a strong series
of her own. Murray has an impressive set of hand-times over the course
of the season. Garner had a strong regional showing and had some very
impressive early times. Chambers finished 2nd in the event last year
and could easily move up the list as she is really coming on at the end
of the season. Jamie Bragg and Janice Drelick could also make a little
noise.
200 M 1. Ebony Jones Philip Barbour
2. Ayreal Thompson Weir
3. Zantana Murray Richwood
4. Kelly Puterbaugh Winfield
5. Lauren Gilbert Bridgeport
6. Ambria Chambers Ravenswood
Jones again finished 3rd in AAA last season and tied for the best qualifying
time. Thompson equaled Jones' qualifying time and turned in two very
impressive times at the OVAC Championships in early May. Murray also
turned in an impressive regional performance and has a strong series of
other hand-times to accompany it. Puterbaugh was outstanding at the
Gazette Relays and could easily move into the top 3. Gilbert was exceptional
at the Gazette Relays but seems to be struggling late in the season. If
she can return to her late-April/early-May form, she could contend to win
the event. Chambers is a returning placer in this event as well and has
the 4th best qualifying mark to go with two excellent times from the LKC
Championships. Allison Rothlisberger and Dominique Woods will also be
in the hunt for medals.
400 M 1. Ebony Jones Philip Barbour
2. Brianna Clark Tyler Consolidated
3. Candice Lilly Summers
4. Lauren Gilbert Bridgeport
5. Roshawna Mongold Petersburg
6. Vanessa Baxter Magnolia
We're going with Jones to pull off the trifecta. She has shown steady
improvement in this event (102.53 on 5/6, 101.87 on 5/16, and 101.16 on
5/23). Clark is showing a similar progression from 101.93 down to her
regional performance of 101.08. Lilly has run under 60 seconds in the
past and could take the event but hasn't shown quite the spark in the 400
this year. Gilbert again seems to be struggling late in the season, but
if she does own three times faster than anyone else in the field has run,
so she is certainly a contender. Mongold placed last year and took a
big step forward with her regional time. Baxter also placed last year
and has run consistently fast throughout may. Melanie Hill and Allison
Rothlisberger should also contend for spots.
800 M 1. Jennifer Povick Sissonville
2. Megan Docherty Grafton
3. Erika Rucker Grafton
4. Rochelle Byers Weir
5. Shelly Smith Magnolia
6. Amy Farris Frankfort
Povick let her colors fly at the Gazette Relays when she turned out a
2:18.33. No one else in the field can match that. Docherty finished
2nd in the event last season and has at least 5 times under 2:30. Rucker
has actually beaten Docherty in most meets this season, but she'll have
run the 1600 and Docherty will be fresh. Byers is a Freshman who is
still figuring out the event. Smith might knock off Byers, but running
the 1600 earlier in the day could hamper her 800. Farris has shown an
ability to come back strong from the 1600 and with additional rest that
the State Meet allows can knock a second or two off her time. Ashley
Hatch and Carly Gregson have also run under 2:30 this season.
1600 M 1. Jennifer Povick Sissonville
2. Amy Farris Frankfort
3. Erika Rucker Grafton
4. Laurel Thomas Berkeley Springs
5. Rachel Morgan Grafton
6. Shelly Smith Magnolia
Povick ran a 5:20 at the Gazette Relays pretty much running alone. She
can find 4 or 5 more seconds if necessary. Farris, Rucker, and Thomas
raced hard at the Regional and aren't likely to go much faster. Morgan
also grabbed a major PR at the regional meet. Smith is a veteran who could
snag a slightly higher spot. Valerie Perrine placed in the event last
year and is always a threat to snare a spot. Hannah Kovarik could also
muddle things up a little.
3200 M 1. Jennifer Povick Sissonville
2. Valerie Peer Berkeley Springs
3. Hannah Kovarik Winfield
4. Rachel Morgan Grafton
5. Sarah Rosier Grafton
6. Brenna Hagerty Tyler Consolidated
Povick doesn't have the best time. She's also lost head-to-head to Rachel
Morgan. However, we think she's the most likely of the bunch to break out
and run an 11:40 or so. Peer has two sub-12 performances and showed during
Cross Country season that she's got the strength to finish strong. Kovarik
is a slightly unknown quantity, but ran pretty even with Povick at the
Regional. Morgan owns a victory over Povick but likely doesn't have quite
as much upside as the others on this list. She is the most consistent, though
with 4 outings under 12:10. Anyone slightly off will fall to Morgan and drop
down the list. Rosier has also been pretty consistent and has a better
series than Hagerty. Hagerty has a faster best time than Rosier and
could take the spot. Of course, there are a number of others who could
jump in and take a spot, including Carrie Burdette, Kate Merinar, Vanessa
Adams, Nicole Lemal, and Jamie Cokeley.
100 HH 1. Emily Henley Winfield
2. Angela Krumpach Keyser
3. Tara Blakemore Weir
4. Ashley Helmstetter Frankfort
5. Jennie Collinsworth Tyler Consolidated
6. Sarah Abbate Bridgeport
Henley sports the best time, the best series of times, and the 2nd best
regional mark. Krumpach has the top regional mark and a couple other very
solid times to back it up. Blakemore could easily move up with a good day.
Helmstetter looked very good at the regional meet and at her conference
meet. Collinsworth placed last year and has a solid series of times on
the season. Abbate didn't have a standout regional performance but has
a long list of good times for the season. Brooke Mitchell will be knocking
on the door if anyone falters.
300 LH 1. Candice Lilly Summers
2. Megan Farmer Winfield
3. Emily Henley Winfield
4. Brittany Hagerty Tyler Consolidated
5. Angela Krumpach Keyser
6. Roshawna Mongold Petersburg
Lilly is the two-time defending champion and has the best time in the
field (though by the slimmest of margins). Farmer has been coming on
strong in May and could knock Lilly off her throne. Henley has been
consistently fast. Hagerty doesn't have the next best time and is fairly
new to the event. However, she has the speed to conceivably run under
47 on a perfect race. Krumpach has a pair of runs under 49 and at least
5 under 50. Mongold knocked Krumpach off at the regional but will be
coming off the 400 and that may be enough for Krumpach to get back by her.
Hilary Heinzman and Ashley Helmstetter (who placed last year) will contend
for positions.
4x100 1. Weir
2. Winfield
3. Magnolia
4. Tyler Consolidated
5. Bridgeport
6. Keyser
Weir ran away with a very strong region, making them the clear favorite
in this event. Winfield run sub-52 back in early May and should be able
to go faster now. Magnolia is the only other team to show a sub-52 all
season. Tyler Consolidated has three showings under 53 seconds. Bridgeport
has the athletes to run in the low 52's. Keyser is the only other team
to run under 53 seconds.
4x200 1. Magnolia
2. Winfield
3. Weir
4. Tyler Consolidated
5. Bridgeport
6. Oak Glen
It's another Region I party, as they take 4 of the 6 places. Magnolia
has the top time and has enough athletes to make it work. Winfield
ran a time close to Magnolia's all the way back in early May at the
Gazette Relays and could easily take the top spot. Weir wasn't far
behind Magnolia at the regional, and Weir always comes up with strong
relay showings at the State Meet. Tyler Consolidated was just a
smidgeon behind Weir at the regional and could easily move up if anyone
doesn't pass the baton well. In reality, any of the four could take
the event. There is a pretty big drop-off to the next group of teams.
No one else has run under 1:51. Oak Glen had the next best regional
time. Bridgeport has the next best overall time. Bridgeport appears
to have a stronger cast of athletes for the event.
4x400 1. Magnolia
2. Grafton
3. Tyler Consolidated
4. Winfield
5. Weir
6. Berkeley Springs
Magnolia is a strong favorite here. They have at least four girls who
can go under 1:03. Grafton can load this event up a little more at this
meet than they did at the regional. Their potential is around a 4:12.
This position is tenuous, though, as Grafton will have to make their noise
from the first heat. Tyler Consolidated has already gone 4:16 and can
likely go a little faster. Winfield has some good upward potential in
this event. They ran a 4:22 at the regional and won by 16 seconds. They
can certainly go faster if pushed. Weir has some strong 400 runners, and
if they all come through, Weir could move up the charts. Berkeley Springs
will gain the benefit of a fresher Laurel Thomas at the State Meet, adn that
should be enough to get them around Frankfort.
4x800 1. Grafton
2. Magnolia
3. Frankfort
4. Weir
5. Tyler Consolidated
6. Winfield
Grafton has the potential to go 9:55 or so in the event, and we don't think
anyone else can match that. Magnolia has already run a 10:09 and could
clip another 5-6 seconds off that. Frankfort maybe has a higher upward
potential than Magnolia but hasn't shown all their colors yet. Weir is
capable of running a 10:10 or so, which could score them a top 3. Tyler
Consolidated has already gone 10:18 and could find a few more seconds if
pressed. Winfield may have a higher upside than Tyler Consolidated, but
like Frankfort, we haven't seen it. Keyser is also a proven commodity
that can factor into the mix.
Shuttle 1. Weir
2. Tyler Consolidated
3. Winfield
4. Point Pleasant
5. Summers
6. Oak Glen
Weir has four runs under 67 seconds. Tyler has one very impressive showing
and a strong regional performance. Winfield shows four times under 1:10
with a pair under 1:09. Point Pleasant could leapfrog Winfield as they
have three outings under 1:09. Summers ran under 1:09 back in mid-April.
Logic would indicate that they can probably run low 68's or high 67's
on a good day. Oak Glen is the only other team to crack the 70 second
barrier having done so on three occasions.
L Jump 1. Danyell Garner Logan
2. Jamie Bragg Bridgeport
3. Rachel Williams Bridgeport
4. Brittany Hagerty Tyler Consolidated
5. Ashley Helmstetter Frankfort
6. Olivia Newsome Summers
Garner has three leaps over 16' and five of 15'10 or better. Each of
her 16' leaps has come at Charleston. Bragg also has a trio of 16'
jumps with her two best jumps coming in her two most recent meets.
Williams has three 16' jumps, the best overall series and placed second
in the event last year. However, Bragg has beaten her the last two
meets. Hagerty also has three 16' jumps, though each came in April.
She did place 5th in the event last season. Helmstetter has the third
best jump of the field but has little to back it up. Frankfort participated
in many meets for which we did not receive results making it difficult
to stack her up against the field. Newsome has been a strong jumper
for several years and has the only other 16' leap of the bunch. We also
give a mention to Stephanie Cole who has a far more consistent series
than Helmstetter or Newsome.
H Jump 1. Valerie Wood Grafton
2. Niki Flora Weir
3. Rachel Williams Bridgeport
4. Lindsay Abshire Winfield
5. Micah Bell Magnolia
6. Danyell Garner Logan
Wood is the only competitor with a 5'4 jump, and she has a pair of them...
and they've come in the last two meets. Flora is the defending champion
and seems to be back on track, clearing 5'2 consistently in the second
half of the season. Williams has three leaps of 5'2 and at least a pair
of 5'0 jumps to go along with it. Abshire shows four leaps of 5'0 during
the season. Bell has a pair of 5'0 jumps adn one of those came at the
regional meet. Garner has three 5'0 jumps, but all came in April. In
fact, her best 5 jumps came in April.
Shot 1. Lindsay Rumberg PikeView
2. Lindsey Bailey Lewis
3. Heidi Dougherty Roane
4. Elizabeth Williams Keyser
5. Autumn Beavers Keyser
6. Andrea Burnett Lincoln
Rumberg's 5th best throw is over a foot better than anyone else has thrown.
She is likely the biggest favorite of the meet. Bailey's two best throws
have come in her last two meets, and she has the best series of throws
of the remaining competitors. Dougherty and Williams tie for the next
best throw, but Williams' throw was the only one we've seen for her, making
her a very unknown quantity. Beavers has thrown fairly well throughout
the season. Burnett has had her two best throws in her last two meets,
which was enough to giver her the nod over Nicole Baldwin who has a better
overall series.
Discus 1. Emily Facemyer Sissonville
2. Mindy Lilly Liberty Raleigh
3. Christina Forbes Magnolia
4. Maria Rodriguez Magnolia
5. Tiffany Clark Oak Glen
6. Autumn Beavers Keyser
Facemyer has the best throw in the field by nearly 12' and has three
tosses better than anyone else's best. Lilly has the second best mark
of the field by nearly 9' and is the only other competitor to show
5 triple digit throws. Forbes has a pair of tosses over 100', enough
to give her the edge over teammate Rodriguez who shows five throws over
98'. Clark actually has the third best toss of the group, but doesn't
quite have the consistent series to back it up. She could certainly
move up the charts if she's having a good day. Beavers has three tosses
over 95' and each has come in May.
P Vault 1. Maggie Tincher Winfield
2. Emily Stout Bridgeport
3. Kayla McDaniel Grafton
4. Meghan Foster Ritchie
5. Crystal Snyder Webster
6. Heather King Ravenswood
Tincher is the defending champion and has four vaults of 10' or better.
Stout has the only 10'6 leap, and it came at regionals. She has at least
four other vaults of 9' or better. McDaniel has three showings of 8'6
while no one else has given more than one. Foster has an 8'6 vault and
and 8'0 vault. Snyder has a pair of 8'0 vaults to her credit. King is
the only other vaulter in the field to have cleared 8'0.
High Point Predictions
1. Ebony Jones Philip Barbour 30
1. Jennifer Povick Sissonville 30
3. Ayreal Thompson Weir 20
4. Emily Henley Winfield 19.5
5. Erika Rucker Grafton 16.5
5. Candice Lilly Summers 16.5