AA-A Girls Individual Predictions

Individual Predictions

100 M	1. Jennifer Povick	Sissonville
	2. Carrie Bierkamp	Moorefield
	3. Apryl Frankland	Frankfort
	4. Roshawna Mongold	Petersburg
	5. Dominique Woods	Bluefield
	6. Ambria Chambers	Ravenswood

Povick has the best series of times and is the top returning 
finisher in the event.  Bierkamp is the only other runner to have
five times under 13 so we tabbed her for second.  Frankland placed
5th last year and had a strong regional.  Mongold has the top 
reported time in the state this year and several under 12 but was
only 3rd in the region. Woods won her region and we have very little
to go on with her since we receive only a few results from Bluefield.
Chambers placed 6th last year and she chould go a little higher this
year.  Roberson, Shoemaker and Moore have all had some good hand
timed marks this year and Drelick maybe ran an electornically timed 
13.06 (meaning we are not sure) that would put her right in the 
fight if she could do it again

200M	1. Jennifer Povick	Sissonville
	2. Ashley Craigo	Poca
	3. Apryl Frankland	Frankfort
	4. Carrie Bierkamp	Moorefield
	5. Candice Lilly	Summers
	6. Brittany Hagerty	Tyler Consolidated

Defending champion Povick has 5 times under 26.62, a time only to 
other runners have eclipsed even once.  Craigo ran a great regional
and moved into second.  Frankland placed 2nd in the event last year
and should duel with regional foe Bierkamp for the 3rd spot.  Lilly
placed 4th in 2001 but will need to do at least what she did that 
year to secure points for her team.  Hagerty has ran a hand timed
26.8, the 4th fastest time recorded for the field.  Woods, Roberson
and Chambers (6th last year) all appear to be very close to placing
and there are others that could also jump in.
	
400M	1. Jennifer Povick	Sissonville
	2. Candice Lilly	Summers
	3. Ashley Craigo	Poca
	4. Carrie Bierkamp	Moorefield
	5. Vanessa Baxter	Magnolia
	6. Roswhana Mongold	Petersburg

Make it 3 for 3 for Povick who has the best time in the state again
this year and 5 times under 60.  No other runner has gone under 60.7.
Lilly placed 2nd last year and should be strong in this event again.
Craigo had a great region as did Bierkamp and it should be tight 
for the 3rd spot.  Baxter easily won her region and may be poised
to drop her time another second.  Mongold placed last year but 
could be harmed by having to run the 300's just a short time before.
Kodie Miller, Trista West and Za Dawson are the next closest 
competitors.

800M	1. Sherri Flohr		Grafton
	2. Megan Docherty	Grafton
	3. Melanie Gantzer	Wheeling Central
	4. Jennie Spencer	Doddridge
	5. Laurel Thomas	Berkeley Springs
	6. Annie Schuerger	Charleston Catholic

What Povick should do in the sprints, Flohr should do in the distance
events.  She is about 5 seconds ahead of the field but probably 
will convserve some to make the 4x4 better.  Docherty has the next
best time this year and finished 2nd in that region.  Gantzer 
won her tough region as well.  Spencer has the 3rd best time, but
will have run the mile already as will have Thomas, making it a 
little harder for both of them.  Schuerger and Whitney Jones are 
the only two other runners to have gone below 2:30 this year and 
they both ran in the 2:27's.  Schuerger placed 6th last year, so 
we gave her the edge.  Hillyard placed 3rd in the event last year,
but will need to slice 3-4 seconds off this year's time to 
duplicate the feat.  Other placers are not out of the question either.

1600M	1. Sherri Flohr		Grafton
	2. Heather McDaniel	Grafton
	3. Jennie Spencer	Doddridge
	4. Lindsay Dawson	Winfield
	5. Jessie Jones		Ritchie
	6. Valerie Perrine	Webster
	
Flohr is way out ahead once again and McDaniel is healthy this year
so this should be a 1-2 Bearcat finish.  Spencer is not far behind
though.  Dawson and Perrine placed last year and Jones has the 4th
best time in the state this year.  Marian Brooks, Laurel Thomas 
and Kristina Watson could also jump into the last few spots.
	
3200M	1. Sherri Flohr		Grafton
	2. Heather McDaniel	Grafton
	3. Marian Brooks	Pikeview
	4. Kristina Watson	Ritchie
	5. Megan Hughes		Charleston Catholic
	6. Nicole Lemal		Weir

Flohr and McDaniel are the only two runners to have gone under 
12 flat this year.  Flohr is already ranked among the top ten AA-A
female athletes of all time and only the fact that she is going 
for a team championship may hinder her from moving much farther up
the list.  Brooks has the 3rd best time and Watson had an excellent
regional.  Hughes and Lemal have the best two remaining times and
both could just several spots on the list.  Kristen Byus and Nicole
Tingler are ready to step in if anyone has an off day.
	
110H	1. Ali Moore		Bridgeport
	2. Brandi Johns		Webster
	3. LOri Coffman		Doddridge
	4. JUlie Drelick	Weir
	5. Emily Henley		Winfield
	6. Roshawna Mongold	Petersburg
 
Moore is the defending champ and had two great regional runs.  Johns
also had a very good regional clocking in her easy victory.  
Coffman was last year's runner up and has very consistent times this
year.  Drelick has the 2nd fastest time recorded by the runner, but
has a next best time nearly one second slower.  Henley and Mongold
have the next best times and series of times.  Ambria Chambers 
placed last year and could slide in once again.  

300H	1. Candice Lilly	Summers
	2. Hilary Heinzman	Magnolia
	3. Lindsay Elkins	Buffalo
	4. Lori Coffman		Doddridge
	5. Brandi Johns		Webster
	6. Roshwana Mongold	Petersburg
 
Lilly is the returning champion and is currently over a second better 
than the closest hurdler (Heinzman).  Lilly showed no ill effects 
from running the 400 last year so that isn't a problem with her.  
Elkins placed last year and Coffman ran well at regionals.  Johns
has a sligly better time the Elkins or Coffman, but her second best
time is around 4 seconds slower.  Mongold has the 3rd best time in
the field, but the 400 will likely effect her.  She has a ton 
of races to run including trials, (6 events) with two of
those being long ones.  Emily Henley and Ashley Helmstetter have 
the next two best times.
	
4x100	1. Gilmer
	2. Bridgeport
	3. Winfield
	4. Tyler Consolidated
	5. Magnolia
	6. East Hardy

Gilmer ran a great regional and seems to be peaking at exactly the
right time.  Bridgeport has the fastest time this year and should
be right ther as well.  Winfield won the regional easily to slide
into our next spot.  Tyler beat Magnolia at regions so we gave 
them the edge between those two.  East Hardy has the next best time
by 1/2 second to make them the final choice.  Weir always seems to
come up with good relay teams and could make noise along with 
Moorefield.

4x200	1. Magnolia
	2. Tyler Consolidated
	3. Gilmer
	4. Winfield
	5. Frankfort
	6. Charleston Catholic

Magnolia and Tyler have the best times this year with Magnolia 
leading the field by about a second.  Gilmer and Winfield staged
a great regional battle and moved into the 3/4 spots.  It was 
Gilmer's first time with a loaded team.  Frankfort won their region
and could provide a challenge to the teams above them.  Charleston
Catholic took 3rd in their region, but has the best time and series
of times of the remaining teams.  Here we find Weir again, making 
us nervous with their history of relay excellence.

4x400	1. Grafton
	2. Magnolia
	3. Charleston Catholic
	4. Doddridge
	5. Winfield
	6. Bridgeport

When it comes to the relays, we try to guess who will be running 
since teams often load up at states for possibly the first time 
all year.  That is often why you will see picks that seem to 
be out of order with regional and best times.  Grafton's fully
loaded team should be a few ticks ahead of anyone else although 
Magnolia or Charleston Catholic might be able to provide a challenge.
Doddridge probably can't beat Grafton, but has a shot at the 2 spot.
Winfield and Bridgeport both have a solid base of 400 runners.  
Lurking once again is Weir, who seems to be just off the board again
but could pick up several points here.

4x800	1. Grafton
	2. Magnolia
	3. Wheeling Central
	4. Bridgeport
	5. Charleston Catholic
	6. Winfield

Grafton has the edge here, but it's not a huge one.  Magnolia could
push them very hard.  Central, Bridgeport and Catholic are just a 
little farther back and should be in a great race for at least 3rd.
Winfield has the 2nd best time this year, but will likely need to
find at least 10 more seconds to compete with the teams above them.
They just might have it.  Ritchie should be in the mix as well.

Shuttle	1. Bridgeport
	2. Weir
	3. Summers
	4. Webster
	5. Tyler Consolidated
	6. Winfield

Bridgeport set the top time for AA-A this year in their regional,
but Weir is right there.  Both have a number of good hurdlers.  
Southern teams Summers and Webster had a good regional duel with
Summers coming out on top.  Tyler is the only other team with two
times under 1:10 this year and Winfeild edged Buffalo at the 
regional to get the nod for the final spot.  The rest of the teams
in the field are about two seconds back, but they may place because
something always goes wrong for somebody (usually several somebodies)
in the hurdles.

H Jump	1. Nicki Flora		Weir
	2. Jennie Spencer	Doddridge
	3. Amanda Horrocks	Midland Trail
	4. Danielle Powell	Doddridge
	5. Rachel Williams	Bridgeport
	6. Kristina Cast	Notre Dame
	
Flora has 4 jumps of 5'2 or better to lead the field.  Spencer
cleared 5'2 at regions and has more jumps of 5'0 than anyone else
in the field.  Horrocks is the only other jumper to clear 5'2
and cleared 5'0 at the regional.  Powell has begun to consistently
clear 5'0 the last few weeks and Williams is the only other jumper
in the field to have cleared 5'0 more than once.  Kast had a 
good regional and has had her best jumps come recenlty.  The only
other jumper in the field to have cleared 5'0 is Molly Kiger of
Williamstown.  Emily Henley placed last year and could very well
do so again.  

L Jump	1. Alicia Sanders	East Hardy
	2. Erica Williams	Gilmer
	3. Olivia Newsome	Summers
	4. Nicole Pounds	Gilmer
	5. Brittany Hagerty	Tyler Consolidated
	6. Kelsey Oldfield	St. Marys

Sanders is beginning to show the form that got her second at last
year's meet and had the best regional jump.  Williams has the two
best marks in the state this year.  Newsome placed in states last
year as well and has a 16+ jump to her credit.  Pounds has two 
jumps over 16 feet.  Haggerty has been near 16 feet on several 
occassions and Oldfiled also has clear 16 once this year.  Jamie
Bragg and Rachel Williams of Bridgeport are the only other jumpers
to go over 15 1/2 feet this year and both could place high in the
event.

P Vault	1. Nicole White		Doddridge
	2. Maggie Tincher	Winfield
	3. Emilee Stout		Bridgeport
	4. Kayla McDaniel	Grafton
	5. Blaine Canfield	Williamstown
	6. Meghan Foster	Ritchie

White is the state record holder and defending champion but injuries
have limited her jumps this year.  Even so, she has more jumps over
9'0 this year and hasn't maxed out due to the injury.  If she 
struggles, Tincher is waiting and has the top leap in the state this
year.  Stout has cleared 9' twice this year.  McDaniel has cleared
9' as well.  Canfield has cleared 8'6 and 8'0 a number of times.  
Foster is the most consistent remaining jumper.  Kendall Queen has
cleared 8'6, but has not other jumps over 7'6.  Maria Malone and
Chantel Simmons have both cleared 8'0 and that might place this year.

Discus	1. Theresa Melko	Bridgeport
	2. Molly Kiger		Williamstown
	3. Shanda Mason		Cameron
	4. Jennifer Pettrey	Marsh Fork
	5. Kate Clark		Doddridge
	6. Megan Allison	Oak Glen

Melko seems poised to finally win the event.  She leads the field 
by 10' and has at least 5 throws better than anyone else.  Kiger
has the second best throw by 3 feet and has been throwing well, as
has Mason.  Pettrey threw very well at states last year.  Clark 
has the 4th most throws over 107' in the field.  Allison placed last
year as well and has nice upward potential.  Emily Facemyer has 
the states 5th best throw and coul also place well in the field.  
If 105' places, it will open the door for another 6 or so 
competitors.

Shot	1. Michele McGinnis	Winfield
	2. Molly Kiger		Williamstown
	3. Alicia Dickson	St. Marys
	4. Theresa Melko	Bridgeport
	5. Brandi Brill		East Hardy
	6. Shanda Mason		Cameron

Mcginnis has about two feet on the field, but hasn't throw over
39 in a meet since 4/6.  If she goes 38, she'll have company from
Kiger and Dickson who have both been inthat range.  Melko has the
next most throws over 37 feet and Brill has been there a couple of
times as well.  Mason has gone over 35 and no one else clears 34
on a consistent bais.  Megan Ueltschy has been consistenly in the 
33 range and could place in another falters.

High Point Predicitons
1. Sherri Flohr		Grafton		32.5
2. Jennifer Povick	Sissonville	30
3. Candice Lilly	Summers		21.5
4. Heather McDaniel	Grafton		21
5. Jennie Spencer	Doddridge	19