AAA Boys Individual Event Predictions 100 M 1. Scott Mayle Philip Barbour 2. Antwan Sorrells Woodrow Wilson 3. Willie Whetstone Riverside 4. Rusty Taylor Riverside 5. Joe Mosley St. Albans 6. Ivan Hawkins Parkersburg South Mayle appears to be the fastest man in the state and easily won the Gazettes against much of the same competition. Each of the other guys on the list have all been under 11 at least once using accu track. Sorrells has 5 times under that magic 11 mark and seems to be there consistently. Whetstone has also been consistently fast and edges teammate Taylor who both have great familiarity with the Charleston track. Taylor placed 5th last year in this event and won the MSAC meet against many of the same guys. Mosley could go much higher as could Hawkins. Baisden of BU is also lurking with several hand times below 11.00 and could easily claim one of the spots. 200M 1. Scott Mayle Philip Barbour 2. Willie Whetstone Riverside 3. Antwan Sorrells Woodrow Wilson 4. Ivan Hawkins Parkersburg South 5. Rahman Wilcox Jefferson 6. Sloan Baisden Buckhannon Upshur Once again, we pick Mayle, but this time, it's much closer. Sorrells and Whetstone are right there. Whetstone has been electronically timed under 22.19 3 times this year and Sorrells has been there only once. Hawkins is the only other runner with more than one time under 22.61 (3) so he looks good for 4th. After that, the field gets much more crowded. We choose Wilcox and Baisden since they had the most times under 22.8. Lee, Falduto could also be in the mix with a 22.2 hand clocking by Falduto being the 4th best in the state this year. 400M 1. Rico Greenhowe Capital 2. Ivan Hawkins Parkersburg South 3. Antwan Sorrells Woodrow Wilson 4. Michael Weber Huntington 5. Rahman Wilcox Jefferson 6. Josh Santrock Hurricane Greenhowe has seemingly left the field and could be chasing an all time top ten mark. Hawkins is the only other runner under 50 and leads the rest of the field by about 1/2 second. Sorrells has had a number of mid 50's clockings and should be able to break 50 with his speed. Weber is strong in the event and should be able to go into the low 50's at least and shouldn't fade at the finish. Wilcox has also gone into the mid 50's and also has the nice 200 speed. Santrock has the same type speed and has been low consistently. Faludto placed 5th in the event last year, but will likely need to go faster than he has ever gone to go in again. His speed makes it a good possibility. Clise and Page are the next best bets based on times. 800M 1. Michael Weber Huntington 2. Rico Greenhowe Capital 3. Justin Johnson Capital 4. Justin Bossert Roane 5. Forrest Boggess Parkersburg South 6. Brad Dodson Martinsburg Webber has run a 1:57 this year, has great 400 speed and won the crazy fast region 3 race. Greenhowe's 400 speed makes him very interesting and he could give Webber a great chase. Johnson has beaten him every time this year, but Greenhowe has been closing on both of them. Bossert and Boggess both ran full bore in regionals and probably can't go much lower. Dodson could also possibly go 1:59. Richard Kitching has been extremely strong in this event, but we picked him slightly out of the running. Both he and DeVault will have a grueling mile that may take them both out of it. If Kitching runs below 4:20, it may zap him. If he runs in the mid 4:20's, he could go into the top 4. 1600M 1. Tyler DeVault East Fairmont 2. Richard Kitching Cabell Midland 3. Ben Lukowski St. Albans 4. Keith Rand Morgantown 5. Chris Walsh George Washington 6. Brad Dodson Martinsburg Tyler Devault has gone under 4:20 this season and is the only runner to do so. Kitching has the best speed in the group and Lukowski is nearly ledgendary already. We think that speed will win out in this battle and Kitching should be very fresh for this event. All could go under 4:20. It should be a great race. Not far back appears to be Rand and Walsh who have both gone under 4:27. Of the remaining runners, Dodson is the fastest by 3 seconds and his speed makes him a threat to move several spots higher. After that only Cooke is under 4:39 so far this year. 3200M 1. Ben Lukowsi St. Albans 2. Keith Rand Morgantown 3. Tyler DeVault East Fairmont 4. Chris Walsh George Washington 5. Greg Cooke Cabell Midland 6. Dave Ferrell Parkersburg Lukowski's top time is nearly 15 seconds better than the nex top time. Of course, it looked that way last year as well when Sabatino burst into the picture and has now become one of the best young runners in America. Rand defeated DeVault head to head, but DeVault has better 800 speed and was the state CC champ so he could have a real gem under his belt. Walsh appears to also have the ability to go as high as second. After those, Cooke and Ferrell ar the only two runners to break 10:00 and Cooke has done it 3 times. Thomas Hobbs and Ryan Smith could jump in if others falter. 110H 1. Matt Liston Preston 2. Mike Farry St. Albans 3. Chad Jordan Cabell Midland 4. Matt McDaniel Hurricane 5. Chris Nix Parkersburg South 6. Ryan Keeney East Fairmont It appears that the top 4 (at least) have the ability to win this event. Liston was picked because he seems to be very consistent this year and has had the best series of times turned into RunWV. Farry, Jordan and McDaniel an Nix ran in the same region (what a race that was). McDaniel came out on top there and jumped into the picture as a very serious contender. However, that is the only time we have for him below 15.20 so we moved him down the list a tad. Kenney didn't have a great regional but has had an excellent season making him our pick for 6th. Evan Taylor, Ryan Vucilek and 'Bo' Bolton (who placed 5th last year) could also easily place. This event could have a big impact on who takes home the team trophy. 300H 1. Evan Taylor Keyser 2. Brent Jarrell St. Albans 3. Ryan Vucilek John Marshall 4. Matt McDaniel Hurricane 5. Chad Jordan Cabell Midland 6. Nick Parrish North Marion With no clear favorite this year, this hurdle event should be exciting and may have a huge impact on who wins the state title as well. Taylor has the fastest time this year and more times at 41.30 or better than any other hurdler. Jarrell's 40.55 regional pushed him head of the rest of the pack and Vucilek is the only other runner to break 41 so far this year. McDaniel also had a very strong regional and the 4th best time in the state this year. Jordan and Parrish are the only other runners to go under 42 more than once this year with Jordan being very consistent this year. If Parrish is in top form, he could move up the list nicely. Chad Grant, Josh Stroup, Aleka Car, Seth Fletcher and Grant Paugh have also broken 42 this year and could place. 4x100 1. Woodrow Wilson 2. Parkersburg South 3. Riverside 4. Buckhannon Upshur 5. Ripley 6. Jefferson Woodrow Wilson has the top time this year and the top regional time. Parkersburg South has been very fast as well and very consistent. Riverside should also be right there and if any of these 3 teams botch a hand off in the least, it could easily change the outcome. Buckhannon Upshur seems to be a couple of steps back but ahead of the rest and a great day could see them challege. Ripley has a group of very fast runners that has a shot at moving up but Jefferson should be right there as well. St. Albans and Huntington are the only other teams to break 45 twice this year and there might be a load up that we have missed for a big surprise for everyone but that team. With groupings this tight, places are easily changed. 4x200 1. Parkersburg South 2. Greenbrier East 3. Riverside 4. Hurricane 5. Jefferson 6. Ripley South is the only team to break 1:32 twice this year and should be considered the favorites. East is the only other team to break 1:32 and their regional time leads us to believe that they are legitimate. Riverside has two great sprinters to work off of and could move into contention, but will have to find two seconds to do so (regions was likely the first time they have run as a unit). Hurricane, Ripley, Jefferson and Woodrow Wilson have also gone under 1:34 this year. We are guessing that Sorrells will run the 3 open events and the 4x1 and that leaves WW a little weaker but likely still in contention for some points. If he does run this relay, they could place high. Hurricane has the next best time on the list and Jefferson won their regionals and might be able to finish higher than we have picked. Ripley will be right there as well and could jump several spots higher. 4x400 1. Capital 2. Huntington 3. Cabell Midland 4. Martinsburg 5. Ripley 6. Lewis When it comes to the relays, we try to guess who will be running since teams often load up at states for possibly the first time all year. That is often why you will see picks that seem to be out of order with regional and best times. With that said, Capital seems to be well ahead of the field and has some great individual 400 runners. Huntington has gone 3 seconds faster than any other team and won a very hot regional. Midland has some horses in the stable and didn't lay it all out at the region so we know there is several seconds there. Martinsburg won their regional and along with Ripley, should be able to push at or below the 3:30 mark. Lewis isn't far off from that mark and their runners should be fresher than other teams and that should give them the edge they need. South Charleston, Buckhannon Upshur and Parkersburg could also factor (at minimum). 4x800 1. Capital 2. Martinsburg 3. Cabell Midland 4. East Fairmont 5. George Washington 6. Preston See the 4x4 above for comments about loaded teams vs. regional times, etc. East Fairmont has the fastest time so far this year and we think they can go faster, but... We think that if the other squads stack their teams (such as Greenhowe and Johnson on Capital), that they can cut their times significantly. If we guessed right about who will run on the teams, what their peak times might be (we admit that this involves a lot of guessing), Capital seems to come out on top by several seconds, followed by Martinsburg and then a close one between Midland, East Fairmont and George Washington. Preston seems another few seconds behind those and South Charleston, Parkersburg South and Hedgesville should all be in the mix as well. Where Midland and South fall into this mix will help decide the title as their places could move several spots up for South and down for Midland. Shuttle 1. Buckhannon Upshur 2. St. Albans 3. Parkersburg South 4. Cabell Midland 5. Keyser 6. Hurricane This event is always tough to call. Each team has four chances to foul (8 counting trials) and has to jump 110 meters of hurdles each along the way. Every year, major competitors get gunned down for false starting, leaving to early or someone crashes into a heap. Like most of the relays, several of the teams vying for the state title are in the mix and it could play a major role. BU is a second ahead of the pack and has the best 4 times in the state this year. St. Albans and South had very good regionals and also have several marks under 60 this year. Midland also has mulitple marks under 60 this year to go with a great regional. Hurricane has a great chance to be right on top of the battle for second (or first as explained above!) but have their regional time not backed by another great run. Keyser fell at their regional and still ran a 60.30 so we don't know exactly what they are capable of. They may be as good as second in this field and we felt they needed to be in the mix. North Marion and John Marshall could place as well with North Marion having some very good individual hurdlers. H Jump 1. Scott Mayle Philip Barbour 2. Mike Farry St. Albans 3. Josh Boone Preston 4. Chris Pettrey Robert C. Byrd 5. Mike Winkfield Greenbrier East 6. Josh Hall Parkersburg South With Rader's ankle injury keeping him and his 6'10 leap out of the picture, it becomes an event that has no clear favorite. Mayle has cleared 6'4 at least 5 times this year. Farry has the best jump of the qualifiers at 6'6, but that is his only jump over 6'2. Boone has 4 6'2 jumps his year and placed last year as a freshman. We like the fact that he placed last year and has had a consistent season. Pettrey has beaten Mayle and is one of only 3 jumpers to hit 6'4 this year. Winkfield placed last year as well, but only has one jump over 6'0 this year. If he jumps 6'4 like he did at states last year, he could win it. Hall is the only other jumper in the field to have cleared at least 6'2. 6'0 might place this year and that would open the final places to a qood quarter of the remainder of the field. L Jump 1. Scott Mayle Philip Barbour 2. Matt Cox Roane 3. Brock Stotts Ripley 4. Darnell Davis Capital 5. Matt Battin Parkersburg South 6. Rocky Manchin North Marion Mayle appears to have this one sewed up. It is a luxury to be a foot off of your best and still be a foot ahead of the field. He can challenge the all time mark if he hits his marks and doesn't try to conserve for his numerous trials and finals. Cox is the only other jumper in the field with more than one leap over 21'. Stotts placed high at states last year and has been jumping his best marks the last few meets. Davis has the 2nd best 5th jump (yeah, we track a lot of stuff) and he consistently goes at least 20 1/2 feet. Battin had a very good regional and beat some very good jumpers. Manchin has gone over 20' 4 times and any of these jumpers could take the second spot. Darryl Jones and Justin Wood have both gone over 21' this year, but haven't jumped within a foot of their best mark at any other meet. The potential is obviously there. Alex Lee could also place and is the only other jumper over 20' this year (at 20.065). P Vault 1. Chris McGhee Nitro 2. Robert Kozul East Fairmont 3. Adam Albaugh Wheeling Park 4. Ryan Rader Parkersburg 5. Jason Alvis Roane 6. Sonny Dye Parkersburg South With Rader's injury, McGhee becomes a clear favorite. If Rader is moderately heathy, he could take second here and even injured, should place. Kozul has consistently been clearing 13' an beat Albaugh in the regionals so we picked him despite Albaugh's 13'6 best jump. To top if off, Albaugh's pole has come up missing. Alvis took 4th as a freshman last year and did well on the big stage so we picked him next out of the 12'6 group and gave and edge to Dye for the last spot. Scott Burdette and Joe Bowie also have cleared 12'6 this year and could go as high as 4th. Discus 1. Matt Morris Woodrow Wilson 2. Chris Boggs St. Albans 3. Zack Morrison Cabell Midland 4. Ken Sanders Musselman 5. Adam Newman Buckhannon Upshur 6. Andrew Starsick North Marion Morris is going for his 3rd title in a row, but has been beaten by Boggs this year and needs to throw his best. Boggs is nearly 10 feet better than the next competitor. Morrison hasn't thrown quite as far as Sanders this year, but had a great regional and seems to be peaking. Newman is the only other thrower to have gone over 150' from the remaining throwers. Starsick placed last year, but should see a strong challenge from Adam Wieble and Velmere Greene. Shot 1. R.J. Coleman Robert C. Byrd 2. Zack Morrison Cabell Midland 3. Adam Weible Cabell Midland 4. Matt Morris Woodrow Wilson 5. Josh Frye Logan 6. Ryan Moore Hedgesville Coleman has been dominant this year and his regional toss was the states best this year. He's been over 50 feet at least five times with 3 of those over 53. No one else has gone over 52 feet and only Morrison has gone over 50'. Morrison's 52+ foot toss did make it so that Coleman must throw his best to get his second consecutive title in the event. Weible has distanced himself from the field on his last two throws. Morris has two throws over 49' but must get hit that or close again to get his spot on the list. Frye had a good regional backed up by some solid throws during the season. Moore was down a bit at region, but has had a consistent year. Starsick popped off the 4th longest throw of the year at regionals, but his next best over 2 feet lower. If he does what he did in regions, he should place. Pat Young is also a top contender and placed in states last year. A number of other throwers haved topped 48 and could slide into a place. High Point Predicitons 1. Scott Mayle Philip Barbor 40 2. Rico Greenhowe Capital 23 3. Antwan Sorrells Woodrow Wilson 22.5 4. Mike Farry St. Albans 18 T5.Willie Whetstone Riverside 17 T5.Tyler DeVault East Fairmont 17