RunWV Predictions
AAA Girls
AAA Girls Individual Predictions
Individual Predictions
100 M 1. Milan Cary Capital
2. Lindsey Stewart Hampshire
3. Kris Morris Jefferson
4. Maura Arline Woodrow Wilson
5. Terri Young Cabell Midland
6. Celia Gottschling Robert C. Byrd
Unlike the sprint events in other classes, Cary (2nd last year)
seems way ahead of the rest of the field. She has pretty much
rolled from the beginning of the year through regionals with the
only sprint loss coming in April against AA-A's Kem Jones. She
may not go as fast as Chic a year ago, but will be close. Stewart
placed 3rd least year and has been steady this season. Morris
has the 3rd best time in the state this year and isn't too far
off from Stewart. Arline, a senior who placed 6th last year, has
been though this before and come through at the state meet so we
picked her over the rest of the field which is closely packed after
the first three. Young has consistently posted fast times this
year and Gottschling posted the 5th best time in regionals. Jenna
Snyder, Ashley Fegurson and Ebony Jones have all posted fast times
this year as well with Jones probably having the ability to go as
high as 4th in this event but didn't have a great regional meet
(beaten by Gottschling).
200M 1. Milan Cary Capital
2. Lindsey Stewart Hampshire
3. Kris Morris Jefferson
4. Sheena Spencer Parkersburg
5. Celia Gottschling Robert C. Byrd
6. Rachel Rhinehart Woodrow Wilson
In a repeat of the 100 meters, the first three seem to be ahead of
the field with Cary way out in front (with Cary and Stewart taking
2nd and 3rd last year in this event also). Spencer has gone a
few ticks faster than Gottschling this year and neither were
pushed very hard at regionals. Rhinehart won't have ran the 400
meters this time and that may be just enough to give her and edge
over the rest of a very tight field as the sprint events won't
wear her out. Kendra Graber placed 5th in this event last year,
but hasn't shown the speed late in the season like the others.
She and Carrie Barrick are the most likely to slip in from the
runners not listed above.
400M 1. Milan Cary Capital
2. Stephanie Eastman Roane
3. Sheena Spencer Parkersburg
4. Jennifer Davis Hampshire
5. Carrie Barrick Keyser
6. Zaia Wharton Elkins
Cary could have a shot at the 400 meter record and will have some
company pushing her. The midseason step up into the longer
distance brings to memory James Jett and his late season record
setting foray into the 400. Eastman (3rd last year) and Spencer
are both good enough to win this event in a normal year with
Eastman's regional timing of 57.4 the best in the state this year.
Eastman has a shot at Cary, but we think Cary's speed will win out.
Spencer also has a shot at going under 58. Davis was second in
the event last year and has also gone under 59 this year. She
doesn't have the speed of the others but is tough enough to move
up a couple spaces if the others aren't full throttle. Barrick
placed 4th last year and is the the only other qualifying runner
under 60 this year. Wharton was the slowest qualifier in AAA but
she was 5th in the event last year and her 800 time shows there
is nothing wrong with her. Elkins 4x4 time also points out that
Wharton has a lot more than the regional time shows. Erica Farmer,
Erica Matthews, Jesamy Fuscardo and Randi Cary also have a shot
but it looks like it will take a sub 60 to place and no one else
in the field has ever been there.
800M 1. Stephanie Eastman Roane
2. Jennifer Davis Hampshire
3. Zaia Wharton Elkins
4. Rachel Carden Martinsburg
5. Sheena Spencer Parkersburg
6. Nadia Sawtarie Brooke
Eastman should not only win, but may take a couple seconds off the
state record. She has very good speed to go with her endurance.
She has been under the exisiting state record several times this
season and won't have run the 1600 like Davis (and Carden) and
her second place finish last year shows she won't freeze up come
state meet. Davis (4th) last year could also go under 2:20 and
might have to since Wharton and Carden may as well. A tough
1600 by Carden and Davis might drain them of some speed, and if so,
then Wharton will likely move up and the others fall. Any of the
three in second shouldn't surprise anyone. Spencer, out fifth
place choice, has Eastman like speed and just might PR by 6 or
7 seconds and jump into second place as well. The others have
better times and more experience so we placed her fifth. Sawtarie
won her region by over 4 seconds so she probably has a good deal
more than what her regional times show. Shannon Tobias placed
6th in last year's meet and could easily place this year as well.
Her regional time was better than Sawtarie, but she had to go that
fast just to qualify (4th in her region).
1600M 1. Rachel Carden Martinsburg
2. Jennifer Davis Hampshire
3. Maria Stover University
4. Susan Davis Hampshire
5. Leah Erenrich Morgantown
6. Karen Wigal Morgantown
Carden has the state's best time this year (over 10 seconds faster
than any other qualifier) but Jennifer Davis has beat her several
times including regionals. We're guessing that this is Carden's
best shot at a state championship and that she'll pull this one out.
Davis (who skipped this event last year for the HJ) could also
win and has been more steady. Stover has also been steady this
year and we think she'll top her regional performance. Susan Davis
has had very little track time this year due to an injury and has
only began competing the last couple of weeks. Her times have been
steadily dropping and the fact that she can compete on so little
time is a testament to her skills (2nd in last year's meet).
Depending on what she has been able to do since regionals as far
as training, she could easily move up or down on this list.
Erenrich and Wigal could also go as high as third with Wigal in
particular a possibility to move up since she has the 2nd best time
among all qualifiers (5:24.90) She was only fourth at her
regional so we have bumped her down a little but keep an eye on
her. Elizabeth Campbell had a great breakthough at regionals but
we don't know how much more she has left in her and she'll have
to go faster to place at states. Rachel Fox also easily won her
regional and could place as well.
3200M 1. Stephanie Eastman Roane
2. Jennifer Davis Hampshire
3. Rachel Carden Martinsburg
4. Maria Stover University
5. Susan Davis Hampshire
6. Karen Wigal Morgantown
Eastman has only done the event once all season... and popped off
a 11:40 to win her region. She did a 5:17 mile earlier this year
and that combined with her better speed should enable her to peel
off another 10-20 seconds and maybe more. Jennifer Davis (4th)
last year, edged Carden in regionals and will likely be able to
beat her once again since Carden is the only one of the top
contenders to have run the 4x800 earlier in the day. This may
take just enough off to keep her from running with the front two.
Stover has the next few best times among the remaining competitors
so we took her 4th. Susan Davis should be competitive in this
event as well but may not have had enough time to go with the
front three. Wigal has also gone under 11:50 this year and
could push Stover as well. Fox and Varian have also been under
11:55 this year and could contend and Stephanie Hatfield placed
6th in this event last year so she shouldn't be overlooked either.
110H 1. Brianna Jones Parkersburg
2. Kimba Hissom Huntington
3. Nancy Regalbuto Hedgesville
4. Andi Rose Wheeling Park
5. Liann Gottschling Robert C. Byrd
6. Ashley Dunn Parkersburg South
Jones' time at regionals convinced us that she was ready to win
this event at states and she is .3 ahead of anyone else. Only a
few have gone that fast and she could join a faily select group
of hurdlers to go under 15 at states. Hissom has improved and
looks to better her finish (5th) from last year. Her time is
nearly a 1/2 second better than anyone else. Regalbuto and Rose
are very similar and Rose placed 3rd last year, but Regalbuto has
had the fastest time this season among the two and has a better
series of times. Gottschling is the only other competitor under 16
and should be able to hold off Dunn who is around .2 better than
the remainder of the field. Hurdles are tricky and if you hit one
hard early, they could go from well ahead to well behind in the
bat of an eye so there are a bunch of other qualifiers just waiting
to get in.
300H 1. Brianna Jones Parkersburg
2. Kimba Hissom Huntington
3. Nancy Regalbuto Hedgesville
4. Andi Rose Wheeling Park
5. Corrine McConnaughy Brooke
6. Leah Walton Nitro
Again, Jones' sparkling regional time convinced us she was ready
to leave her mark. Hissom is the defending champion but hasn't
gone under 49 this year. We're guessing she will drop about 2-3
seconds off her time (as she has done in the past) and step into
second but fall short of Jones. Regalbuto and Rose were 3rd and
4th last year and we'll pick them to do it again. We gave the
edge to Regalbuto since she won her region going away. McConnaughy
is the only other runner under 49 this year so we grabbed her next.
Walton is nearly .3 ahead of the rest of the field and was the logical
choice for 6th. After that, the group is very tight. The athletic
Alexis Hornbuckle has a lot of potential and had could sneak in if
she puts it all together (a lot to ask of a freshman who has only
done the event a few times).
4x100 1. Jefferson
2. Capital
3. Fairmont Senior
4. Wheeling Park
5. Woodrow Wilson
6. Martinsburg
Jefferson had the best regional time and has gone nearly a second
faster than anyone else. With Morris as the anchor, they should
win if they get their handoffs completed. We picked Capital over
Fairmont Senior because we think their runners are a little faster
but Fairmont Senior and Wheeling Park are right there as well.
Woodrow has been running well as a team all year and could move up.
Martinsburg is a couple of ticks ahead of anyone else for 6th.
With handoffs such a critical issue in this relay, even a slight
falter will open up the doors for teams such as Brooke and Parkersburg
South and Keyser.
4x200 1. Woodrow Wilson
2. Wheeling Park
3. Keyser
4. Martinsburg
5. Morgantown
6. Capital
Park ran slightly faster in regionals, but Woodrow has been dominant
all year and we think they'll get it done. Keyser, Martinsburg and
Morgantown are all pretty close and with nothing else to set them
apart, we just put them in order of their regional times. Capital
was about a half second ahead of anyone else so they finished out
our picks. Handoffs are quite as critical here, but a bad one
could still cost a place or two and allow teams such as Brooke and
Elkins to place.
4x400 1. Parkersburg
2. Capital
3. Elkins
4. Parkesburg South
5. Buckhannon Upshur
6. Brooke
When it comes to the relays, we try to guess who will be running
since teams often load up at states for possibly the first time
all year. That is often why you will see picks that seem to
be out of order with regional and best times. With that said, we
have taken Parkersburg to be first. We're guessing they'll put
their best athletes forward and greatly improve their times.
Capital has the ability to do the same thing so we took them 2nd.
Elkins ran a great regional, but we don't know how much more they
have. Even if they don't have a tenth more, they are still a great
team and could contend for the title. South also has the ability
to knock several seconds off of their time and will likely do so and
we think Buckhannon Upshur has more potential than Brooke. In fact,
BU may be able to go as fast as Elkins if everyone is running well.
4x800 1. Parkersburg South
2. Martinsburg
3. Hedgesville
4. Parkersburg
5. Buckhannon Upshur
6. East Fairmont
Parkersburg South has several runners that can go under 2:30 and
that group ran very well at Regionals. They have an outside shot
at the state record, but will probably have to settle for just a
dominating victory. Martinsburg has also been under 10:00, but
Carden may back off and run for 2nd since the points will be the
same and she'll need to conserve for the 3200. Hedgesville ran
very well at regionals to move up our charts to 3rd. Parkersburg
and Buckhannon both have the ability to go much faster than they
did at regions (both have been under 10:15) and could move past
Hedgesville. East Fairmont will have to run very well hold off
the other teams principally all their regional opponents again.
Shuttle 1. Parkersburg
2. Huntington
3. Martinsburg
4. Wheeling Park
5. John Marshall
6. Nitro
Parkersburg and Huntington staged a great battle at regionals with
Parkersburg coming out on top. Both should be well ahead of
anyone else. Martinsburg easily won their regional so we picked
them slighlty ahed of Wheeling Park and John Marshall. Nitro,
North Marion and Morgantown are all very close, but we gave the
edge to Nitro with Leah Walton as a closer. Much like the AA-A girls,
a large number of teams have a shot at placing in the this very
competitive field.
H Jump 1. Roxanne Ward Parkersburg
2. Nancy Regalbuto Hedgesville
3. Alexis Hornbuckle Capital
4. Stephanie Eastman Roane
5. Katie Kilcollin Greenbrier East
6. Danyell Garner Logal
The always hard to predict HJ was even tougher this year. With 4
girls going 5'4 or better (but none going that high consistently),
it made it hard to pick a winner. Since Ward was tough enough to
beat much of the same group last year in horrid conditions, we
think she'll do it again even though she only placed 3rd at regionals.
Regalbuto (6th last year) has more jumps over 5'2 than anyone else
in AAA so we took her second. Hornbuckle had a 5'5 leap mid season
and won her region. She has the potential to win this event and
we love her athleticism. Eastman could also win and has a 5'5
jump to her credit as well, but the jump event will likely still be
going on the same time as the 400 and that may steal some of her
spring. Kilcollin and Garner placed 3rd and 5th last year and should
dual it out for the last spots. Since they've both gone 5'2 and
that could win, anything is possible. Brianna Jones and Brittany
Amodio have also gove 5'2 this year and could wind up on top as well.
Nikki Daniel of Parkersburg placed 4th last year, but gone as high
as the others this year.
L Jump 1. Milan Cary Capital
2. Terri Young Cabell Midland
3. Danyell Garner Logan
4. Roxanne Ward Parkersburg
5. Lindsey Stewart Hampshire
6. Ashley Chaddock Huntington
Cary, Young and Ward all jumped great at least year's meet with
Cary coming within inches of the 1978 meet record. Cary again
has the year's best jump and could go at the record once again.
Young pulled off the best regional jump and has an excellent
series of jumps around 17 feet. Garner also has a good number of
longer jumps this year. Ward won this event in 1999 and should
defintely not be counted out. Her upward potential on this is
huge and she placed 2nd last year with a leap of nearly 18 feet.
She hasn't been quite as consistent as the others and placed 3rd
(behind Young and Chaddock) in her regional. She is a gamer
though and could easily pass the other two but would have to have
a mighty leap to have a shot at Cary. Stewart is well ahead of
the rest of the field but a little behind those ahead of her.
Again, she could move up a good ways as well. Chaddock of
Huntington has a number of jumps around 16 feet and was given the
edge over Manda Pawelczyk. Lara Stone has gone farther than
either of those two, but barely made it out of regionals. If she
gets her steps down, she could place as well.
P Vault 1. Darcy Thompson Fairmont Senior
2. Ashley Dunn Parkersburg South
3. Megan Patton University
4. Lori Bonar Parkesburg South
5. Brooke Litton Parkersburg
6. Kristin Hustead Wheeling Park
Thompson is the state record holder (2nd last year due to number
of misses), but Dunn has also gone 10'6 this year to match Thompson
(both 6" over the existing record). Patton (4th last year) is
the only other jumper to clear 10'. No one else is over 9'0.
Bonar cleared 9' in her regional so we picked her 4th. Litton
and Hustead (5th last year) both cleared 8'6 but Litton has more
jumps of that height. Kendra Combs has also cleared 9'0 but only
took fifth in her regional. If she gets 9' again, she should place.
Discus 1. Jennifer Adkins St. Albans
2. Roxanne Ward Parkersburg
3. Jodi Curran Keyser
4. Erin Bartlett Elkins
5. Lashawna Moss Capital
6. Deidre Davis Brooke
Like Cary, Ward took up a new event this year. Like Cary, she's
gotten very good at it very quickly. Ward had the top regional
throw and beat top pick Adkins. However, Adkins has thrown farther
than Ward has and has been more steady. Curran has also thrown
further than Ward but her consistency was not that of Adkins and
she didn't have a great regional. Bartlett could go as high as
second, possibly first if she gets off the perfect throw. Moss
was 3rd last year, but hasn't shown very many great throws this
year, however she could move up as well. No one else in the field
was over 108' with Davis being the most consistent thrower of
those remaining. A few girls not listed could move up as high as
three spots if they get a great heave in.
Shot 1. Roxanne Ward Parkersburg
2. Brittany Miller Fairmont Senior
3. Erin Bartlett Elkins
4. Alica Woods Parkersburg
5. Jodi Curran Keyser
6. Annie Gurdak Buckhannon Upshur
Ward is the state record holder and should be round 3' further
than anyone else. The only suspense is if she will break her
state record. Miller has the ability to go a couple of feet
further than her regional throw so we picked her second. Bartlett's
37' throw in regionals made her an easy pick for third. Woods
and Curran have both gone over 36 feet, but Woods has been performing
better in the latter part of the season. Gurdak's regional toss
put her ahead of the rest of the pack. Nicole Kyle, Lashawna Moss
and Tina Henry also have throws over 35 feet and could place as well.
High Point Predicitons
1. Milan Cary Capital 40
T2.Stephanie Eastman Roane 32
T2.Roxanne Ward Parkersburg 32
4. Jennifer Davis Hampshire 28
5. Brianna Jones Parkersburg 22.5