Meet:  		AAA Boys State Meet Predictions
Location:	Cabell Midland High School
Date:		To be held October 31, 2009

Predicted AAA Boys Team Results
This should be a great team race with two primary contenders and a third lurking slightly in the background. Fairmont Senior has sat atop the rankings pretty much all season. Cabell Midland has come on strong late in the season and closed that gap considerably. They're very close throught the front five. It looks to me like Cabell Midland is stronger on three of the front five positions and is better positioned if one of the front five falters. Fairmont Senior has a large gap between number 5 and number 6, so if one of their five is off, they could be in trouble. Jefferson would likely need very big time runs from Eric Graf and Jimmy Munnis to contend for the title. Preston and Winfield should battle for 4th. I have the two teams tied, but Preston gets the spot on the 6th runner. Preston probably has more upward mobility of the two teams. Big days from a couple of their guys and they could challenge for a top 3.
1.  Cabell Midland       58
2.  Fairmont Senior      67
3.  Jefferson            90
4.  Preston             129 (Preston takes 4th on Tie-breaker)
5.  Winfield            129 
6.  Parkersburg South   154
7.  Hampshire           160
8.  University          167
9.  Elkins              225
10. George Washington   256
11. Hedgesville         259
12. Greenbrier East     304

Predicted Boys AAA Top 25
Cody Pelliccioni is the defending champion and is clearly the man to beat. He may not be 100% for the State Meet and that could open things up, but that would be the only thing. Brandon Doughty is given the nod over Dayton McVicker for 2nd. That should be close. Unfortunately the two haven't had an opportunity to square off. I think when it comes down to it, Doughty will have the necessary finishing speed. Those three really appear to be a fair amount ahead of the rest of the group. Lucas Greza is given the nod for the next spot. Jacob Burcham could conceivably move up. He beat McVicker at the Geico Classic and his ranking score has probably been hindered by the advancement of his teammates over the 2nd half of the season, particularly since they were the only WV team in a couple meets. Then things really get into tossup mode. Preston Whitney also beat McVicker at Geico and was right on Burcham's heels in that meet. Patrick Stanton is actually ranked ahead of Burcham and is a threat to move up. Logan Wojcik historically performs very well at the State Meet and will have to do so to continue his All-State streak. Austin Rigsby has been very solid all season. Patrick Jividen appears to have rebounded from his mid-season illness. He ran close to Burcham at the Chick-Fil-A Invitational early in the season. Ryan Smith excelled at the Geico Classic, beating several of those ranked ahead of him. Really, most of the top 25 has a shot to squeeze into the top 10 without it being a tremendous shock. Shoot, I've got a couple guys outside the top 30 that could make a run at it (cough...Butler...cough...Bowman...).

Place	Score	Name	 		Year	School
1	X	Pelliccioni, Cody	11	Morgantown	
2	1	Doughty, Brandon	11	Jefferson	
3	2	McVicker, Dayton	11	Fairmont Senior	
4	X	Greza, Lucas		12	Morgantown	
5	3	Burcham, Jacob		9	Cabell Midland	
6	X	Whitney, Preston	12	Ripley     	
7	4	Stanton, Patrick	12	Fairmont Senior	
8	X	Wojcik, Logan		12	Wheeling Park	
9	X	Rigsby, Austin		11	Musselman	
10	5	Jividen, Patrick	11	Winfield	
11	6	Smith, Ryan		11	Cabell Midland	
12	X	Miller, Justin		12	Buck-Upshur	
13	7	Brown-Stobbe, Jordan	10	University	
14	X	Smith, Ashton		11	Huntington	
15	X	Bailey, Andy		12	St. Albans	
16	8	Schwarzenberg, Peter	10	Preston     	
17	9	Marsh, Cody		12	Jefferson	
18	10	Munnis, Sam		10	Jefferson	
17	11	Proudfoot, Ben		12	Elkins     	
20	12	Niemann, Michael	12	Cabell Midland	
21	13	Born, Brody		9	Preston     	
22	14	Kirtner, Joseph		10	Winfield	
23	15	Whitacre, Nathan	12	Hampshire	
24	16	Salmons, Tyler		10	Cabell Midland	
25	X	Ankrom, Hunter		12	John Marshall