Meet: A-AA Girls State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held November 1, 2008
Predicted A-AA Girls Team Results
This should be a great team race. I have three teams within 7 points of each other.
Shady Spring has sat atop the Power Rankings all season long, but their path to the title
is not clear by any means. Wheeling Central's ability to be a factor may depend on the
availability of Molly Kurtz. She did not run the regional meet, and I don't know if she'll
be at the State Meet or not. I've based the predictions on the assumption that she will
run. Grafton is the defending champion and certainly has the ability to repeat. Berkeley
Springs is very strong and usually performs well as a group at the State Meet. It would
take a monumental effort for them to win it, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.
St. Marys was at one point the team to beat, but some injury and illness issues have knocked
them down the charts. They could move up, but at this point I have trouble seeing them
win it all. Frankfort has moved up dramatically late in the season with the emergence of
Victoria McBride as a solid performer. Like St. Marys, I don't see them being a threat to
win it, but they could definitely move up. Doddridge and Charleston Catholic could move
up with a good day or if anyone else falters.
1. Shady Spring 82
2. Wheeling Central 87
3. Grafton 89
4. Berkeley Springs 106
5. St. Marys 117
6. Frankfort 122
7. Doddridge 144
8. Charleston Catholic 146
9. PikeView 180
Predicted A-AA Girls Top 25
Chelsea Callaway hasn't been threatened in Class A-AA this season. Granted, she hasn't run
against any of the other top dogs since October 1st, but on that day she handled Ally Hoyer
and Emily Kittle with ease. She ran away with the Geico Classic in a time that would have been
second only to Rachel Buser in last year's State Meet. Her method on the year has been to
go out hard and dare anyone else to come with her. So far, no one has. Rebecca McBride has
stepped forward late in the season to establish herself as number two. Sarah McCauley has
also stepped forward late in the season in her first year of Cross Country. Chanel Alexander
finished 2nd a year ago, but has lost points in five consecutive meets to close the season.
Ally Hoyer is ranked ahead of both Alexander and McCauley and could move up. Molly Summers
is very steady and a returning All-State Performer. Emily Kittle only finished 9th in her
Region, but that was her worst race of the season. She has spent most of the season running
very well. Jessie John is a returning All-State performer as well and has been steady this
season. Kelley Mortakis has also been very steady and has climbed the rankings throughout
the season. She has been within 5 seconds of John in their last three meets. Aly Carpenter
was third last year but has battled injury through track season and early this season. She
has, however, gained points in seven straight meets. Anyone in the top 20 wouldn't be much
of a surprise. Beverly Knight spent most of the year ranked in the top five. Desiree Roseberry
is very solid and beat several picked ahead of her at the Geico Classic. Macy Houck is an
impressive freshman and beat Hoyer at the Wild & Wet Invitational. Chelsea East has beaten
Roseberry on multiple occasions and has also beaten Houck and Hoyer. Kinney just beat Kittle,
John, Mortakis, Carpenter, and Knight in winning her Regional Meet. So she obviously could get
in there. Bethany Carroll just beat Kittle, Carpenter, and Knight at the Regional and has
stepped up in her last two meets. Ali Johnson spent much of the season ranked in the top 10.
Pick Score Name Year School
1 1 Callaway, Chelsea 12 Shady Spring
2 2 McBride, Rebecca 11 Frankfort
3 x McCauley, Sarah 10 Philip Barbour
4 3 Alexander, Chanel 11 Grafton
5 4 Hoyer, Ally 10 Chas. Catholic
6 5 Summers, Molly 11 Grafton
7 x Kittle, Emily 9 Williamstown
8 6 John, Jessie 10 Wheeling Cent.
9 7 Mortakis, Kelley 12 Wheeling Cent.
10 x Carpenter, Aly 11 Ritchie
11 8 Knight, Beverly 9 St. Marys
12 9 Roseberry, Desiree 10 Shady Spring
13 10 Houck, Macy 9 Berkeley Spr.
14 11 East, Chelsea 10 PikeView
15 x Kinney, Hannah 9 Trinity
16 12 Carroll, Bethany 9 Doddridge
17 13 Johnson, Ali 9 St. Marys
18 14 Armentrout, Brittney 12 Frankfort
19 15 Robbins, Brianna 9 Wheeling Cent.
20 16 Trudgeon, Adalia 11 Doddridge
21 17 Poston, Kaylen 11 Grafton
22 18 Paine, Kelsey 12 Shady Spring
23 19 Osborne, Ardath 11 Berkeley Spr.
24 x Evans, Sarah 9 Trinity
25 20 Mundey, Kayla 9 Berkeley Spr.