Meet: AAA Boys State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held November 1, 2008
Predicted AAA Boys Team Results
This should be a hotly contested team event with at least three different teams sitting
atop the Power Rankings over the course of the season. It should come down to those
three teams. Wheeling Park is the defending champion and has a top three that can run
with anyone. Jefferson is also very strong through the front three and has very good
depth. Cabell Midland isn't as strong on the top end but has better packing in the front
five and probably better end-to-end depth than either of the other two teams. I have
Jefferson coming out on top by a miniscule three points over Cabell Midland. I have
Wheeling Park almost twenty points back but a step-up performance from Kevin Busick,
Jason Bennett, or Ethan Casey could easily move them into contention. This meet is
going to come down to the 3-4-5 runners. Whoever has the good day is going to take
home the crown. I only have 11 points separating 4th through 7th. 10 points of that
gap is between 4th and 5th. I have Fairmont Senior outdistancing the remaining group.
I have Winfield in 5th, just one point ahead of Preston and St. Albans. I have Preston
in front of St. Albans based on the # 6 runner. Obviously, any of these teams can crack
into the front four and any could climb into the top three if Jefferson, Cabell Midland,
or Wheeling Park has a bad day.
1. Jefferson 77
2. Cabell Midland 80
3. Wheeling Park 96
4. Fairmont Senior 121
5. Winfield 131
6. Preston 132
7. St. Albans 132
8. Hampshire 177
9. Musselman 237
10. Parkersburg South 239
11. George Washington 245
Predicted Boys AAA Top 25
This race has closed up considerably over the last half of the season. For most of the
season it was really considered a race between Zach Tennant and Cory Hampshire. Hampshire
looked strong early, then Tennant broke the course record at Cabell Midland by 15 seconds,
making him look like the favorite. Then Hampshire beat Tennant at the Mountaintop Combo.
Then Tennant got beaten handily by David Ciarolla and Ciarolla got beaten handily by Cody
Pelliccioni. Meanwhile David Caldwell has just kept plugging away, dominating the southern
part of the state, and Hampshire has dominated the AAA Eastern Panhandle scene. Now, Tennant
is out with a stress fracture, so he's not going to be a factor. Since Hampshire has only been
beaten once in West Virginia this year, and that due to a wrong
turn, I'm still going with him as the favorite. I'm going with David Ciarolla's experience
over Cody Pelliccioni for 2nd despite Pelliccioni's outstanding regional showing. David Caldwell
is probably the most consistent performer in the meet and could easily move up. I have
Kyle Gramlich in 5th as he seems to always run very well at the State Meet. I have John
Binotto in 6th. He hasn't really run as well this year as he did most of last year, but
he has beaten both Ciarolla and Gramlich head-to-head this year. I'm going with Craig Pritt
in 7th, though I feel like he's a very definite threat to move up as he beat Pelliccioni, Gramlich,
and Binotto at the Mountaintop Combo. Brandon Doughty lands in the 8th spot with his
quietly solid season. I've moved Logan Wojcik into the 9th position. He has historically
run well in the big meets. Trey Beckett is in the 10th spot. He's been somewhat up and down
this year, but performed very well at the State Meet last year. That leaves some very strong
performers left out of the top 10. Adam Frohnapfel has stepped up his performance the last couple
meets. Lucas Greza has been very solid all season long. Russell Mulley showed his mastery of
the State Meet course earlier in the year with a 4th place showing at the Geico Classic. Patrick
Stanton has been strong all year. Caleb Ellis was very strong early. Kory Farmer has been
strong late in the season. Really, anyone inside the top 20 cracking the top 10 wouldn't be
much of a surprise. One thing's for sure...it's going to be fun.
Place Score Name Year School
1 1 Hampshire, Cory 12 Jefferson
2 2 Ciarolla, David 12 Fairmont Senior
3 x Pelliccioni, Cody 10 Morgantown
4 x Caldwell, David 12 So. Charleston
5 3 Gramlich, Kyle 12 Wheeling Park
6 4 Binotto, John 12 Hampshire
7 5 Pritt, Craig 12 Preston
8 6 Doughty, Brandon 10 Jefferson
9 7 Wojcik, Logan 11 Wheeling Park
10 8 Beckett, Trey 12 Cabell Midland
11 x Frohnapfel, Adam 12 University
12 x Greza, Lucas 11 Morgantown
13 9 Mulley, Russell 12 Wheeling Park
14 10 Stanton, Patrick 11 Fairmont Senior
15 11 Ellis, Caleb 12 St. Albans
16 12 Farmer, Kory 12 Jefferson
17 x Proudfoot, Ben 11 Elkins
18 13 Bailey, Andy 11 St. Albans
19 14 Burton, Matt 12 Winfield
20 15 Queen, Nolan 11 Cabell Midland
21 x Boone, Tommy 12 Buck-Upshur
22 x Whitney, Preston 11 Ripley
23 x Meyers, Dustin 12 Parkersburg
24 16 Osborne, David 12 St. Albans
25 17 Jividen, Patrick 10 Winfield