Meet: AAA Girls State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held October 28, 2006
Predicted AAA Girls Team Results
Perhaps I spoke too soon. This has actually shaped up to be a better team race
than the boys' side. I've got the top 3 teams separated by only 5 points and
a fourth within 22 of first. On the right day, any of the four could take it home.
Morgantown has been on top pretty much all year, but this will play out very closely.
Morgantown is very strong from top-to-bottom. Cabell Midland has a very good pack in
their 1-5 girls, and if they move up a spot or two as a unit, they could win it.
Their 6 and 7 are very similar to Morgantown's 6 and 7, so every spot will have
significance in this race. Preston doesn't quite have the depth of the other three
teams, so anyone having an off day for them will really hurt. They're very strong
through the front four and have a very solid number five, but drop fairly significantly
after that. University, at 17 points behind Preston, isn't out of it by any means.
Their depth is excellent as I have their 7th finishing ahead of the 7th for both
Morgantown and Preston. Their 3-4-5 girls will have to move up a few spots apiece
to be in contention or have one of the three move up dramatically by herself. That could
certainly happen as their #4 was in the top 10 at one point this year.
1. Morgantown 53
2. Cabell Midland 55
3. Preston 58
4. University 75
5. Ripley 192
6. Parkersburg 195
7. Elkins 201
8. Jefferson 212
9. Hedgesville 231
10. Capital 231
11. George Washington 288
Predicted AAA Girls Top 25
What an exceptional group! I hate not seeing Courtney Yaeger in there as well. At
mid-season, I would have slotted her into 3rd place. Kaylyn Christopher has one
every meet that she's tried to win. The only reason she's not on top of the rankings
is her choice to use some meets as tempo runs. Amber Riley comes in as the top
ranked runner, but was beaten by Pettit and Chase at the Regional Meet. I'm betting
that doesn't happen again. Christopher can't be too far off her game because Riley
will be waiting. Allison Pettit, Monica Chase, and Chelsea Clark could finish in
any order, but since that's the way it went in both the Conference and Regional Meets,
that's what I'm sticking with. Brooke Boening had a bit of a down stretch but looked
good in her Regional Meet and has performed well in the past on the big stage. Lydia
Martinelli knocked off Boening at the Oatlands Invitational and could move up. Ashley
Teets beat Martinelli at the Regional. Alex Dent has been very impressive late in the
season. Rachel Williams appears to be the top of the crew for the Midland pack, though
their front four could really come in just about any order. There's not really anyone
in the front 26 that would be a complete shock to see take home an All-State Award.
The predicted top 25 are as follows.
1 1 Christopher, Kaylyn 12 Preston
2 2 Riley, Amber 12 University
3 3 Pettit, Allison 10 Morgantown
4 4 Chase, Monica 12 Morgantown
5 Clark, Chelsea 9 Fairmont Senior
6 5 Boening, Brooke 12 Jefferson
7 6 Martinelli, Lydia 9 University
8 7 Teets, Ashley 11 Preston
9 Dent, Alex 9 Hurricane
10 8 Williams, Rachel 10 Cabell Midland
11 Lemons, Kylie 11 Spring Valley
12 DeMarco, Lauren 12 Robert C. Byrd
13 9 Thomas, Alicia 12 Cabell Midland
14 Henderson, Hannah 12 Nicholas
15 10 Winningham, Danielle 10 Cabell Midland
16 11 Riley, Rachel 11 Cabell Midland
17 Clemons, Ashton 10 Nitro
18 12 Berry, Emma 11 Morgantown
19 13 Kasprowicz, Ari 10 Preston
20 14 Hamric, Jordan 11 Preston
21 15 Jarvis, Chelsea 10 Capital
22 16 Moskal, Aubrey 11 Morgantown
23 17 Jaskot, Alexandra 12 Cabell Midland
24 18 Lafata, Gabrielle 10 Morgantown
25 19 Wyatt, Lindsay 11 University