Meet: A-AA Girls State Meet Predictions
Location: Cabell Midland High School
Date: To be held October 28, 2006
Predicted A-AA Girls Team Results
Berkeley Springs has sat atop the rankings for most of the second half of the season
and won the very difficult Region II Championship by 11 points. I'll note that in
these scores, it is assumed that Meghan Mock will be running. Take her out, and
the scores close to 76 and a pair of 94's, still leaving them the favorit, but much
more susceptible. There are five very good teams in the mix and it wouldn't be a
complete shock for any of them to walk away with the title. Doddridge and Charleston
Catholic came out as a tie, but I have Doddridge's #6 picked ahead of Charleston
Catholic's #6. Grafton could have seven finish before anyone else's fifth finishes,
and if they move up as a unit could really be a threat. Winfield is starting to come
back after a lull in the middle of the season.
1. Berkeley Springs 63
2. Doddridge 95
3. Charleston Catholic 95
4. Grafton 111
5. Winfield 112
6. Ritchie 133
7. Wheeling Central 146
8. Shady Spring 166
9. PikeView 178
Predicted A-AA Girls Top 25
As with last year, there's really not much question who will walk away with the
individual title. Rachel Buser may finish before the 2nd place runner comes onto
the track. Stephanie Caruso looks like a very solid pick for 2nd. Things get
really tight after that. Naomi Hyde was slotted in third over Breanna Henry due
to a pair of head-to-head wins over Henry. Truelove split a pair of meetings
with Hyde during the season. Lauren Bauer also split with Hyde in their only
head-to-head meetings. She's not run particularly well the last three meets, but
came up big in last year's State Meet. Darby Mullen struggled through the mid-season
but appears to be coming back into form. Maria Saunders beat Henry at the Regional
Meet and beat Mullen on a couple occasions and could move up. Mundey has started
closing the gap on teammate Henry late in the season and had a great State Meet
run last year. Melanie Manning battled injury through much of the second half of
the season. Fully healthy, she's a top five contender. Really, the girls picked
in the top 25 or so are looking at a situation in which a good day gets them in
the top 5 or 10 and a bad day leaves them outside the top 25. There's not much
room for error in this group. The predicted top 25 are as follows:
1 1 Buser, Rachel 11 Berkeley Spr.
2 2 Caruso, Stephanie 12 Wheeling Cent.
3 3 Hyde, Naomi 12 Doddridge
4 4 Henry, Breanna 12 Berkeley Spr.
5 5 Truelove, Megan 10 Winfield
6 6 Bauer, Lauren 12 Wheeling Cent.
7 Mullen, Darby 12 Logan
8 7 Saunders, Maria 12 Doddridge
9 8 Mundey, Kari 11 Berkeley Spr.
10 9 Manning, Melanie 11 Ritchie
11 10 Abcouwer, Kim 12 Chas. Catholic
12 11 Day, Lisa 12 Winfield
13 12 Coburn, Laken 11 PikeView
14 Rea, Nici 9 Williamstown
15 13 Sheridan, Nora 11 Chas. Catholic
16 14 Potesta, Kathryn 12 Chas. Catholic
17 15 Carpenter, Aly 9 Ritchie
18 16 Miller, Megan 11 Grafton
19 Dormagen, Ryan 9 Ravenswood
20 17 Calloway, Chelsea 10 Shady Spring
21 18 Sellers, Brittany 12 Ritchie
22 19 Osborne, Ardath 9 Berkeley Spr.
23 McFarland, Jennifer 10 St. Marys
24 Emch, Alexis 12 Magnolia
25 20 Bauer, Jessie 12 Grafton