Meet: A-AA Girls State Meet Predictions Location: Mineral Wells, WV Date: To be held October 29, 2005 Predicted A-AA Girls Team Results This should be the best team race of the four events. I look at this one and see five teams that could walk away with the title. Certain assumptions were made in making the predictions. One is that Valerie Peer, who hasn't run since September 20th, will not be running for Berkeley Springs. We have now adjusted the predictions based on the assumption that Allison Cox will be running for Winfield. In the interest of full disclosure, I'll go ahead and say that if I was to put Valerie Peer into the predictions (she's now listed as Questionable rather than Doubtful), that Berkeley Springs would be favored by over 20 points. As it stands, on the assumption that Peer will not run, it looks like Charleston Catholic will be the team to beat. They may not have a single runner finish in the top 10, but they could get 5 in the top 25. With Cox back in the fold, Winfield has moved into the 2nd spot and did sit atop the rankings for most of the season. The late season surges of Kari Mundey and Adrienne Moretz bolster Berkeley Springs' hopes. Ritchie is the defending champion and could repeat. Doddridge is also in the mix for the title. After the loss of Clara Grandt and Jennie Spencer, they weren't really expected to contend, but here they are. Grafton has knocked off Doddridge on several occasions and could move up the list. 1. Charleston Catholic 75 2. Winfield 84 3. Berkeley Springs 89 4. Ritchie 89 5. Doddridge 98 6. Grafton 110 7. Wheeling Central 125 8. PikeView 185 9. Shady Spring 248 Predicted A-AA Girls Top 25 There's really not a question as to who will win the individual race. The question is can she break her own record from last season. Rachel Buser nearly beat last year's time at the Chick-Fil-A Invitational. Stephanie Caruso looks like a solid 2nd. Darby Mullen will try to hold off Megan Truelove for 3rd. Truelove did beat Mullen at the Regional Meet. Elizabeth Hyde has been strong throughout the season. Sarah Rosier has beaten Hyde during the season and was right on her tail at the regional meet. Jamie Cokeley has a history of stepping up at the State Meet, so she's been elevated to 7th. Maggie McCort was also right on Hyde's tail at the regional meet. Melanie Manning ran very strong at her regional meet and could easily move higher. Alexis Emch is the top candidate to round out the top 10, though pretty much anyone in the top 25 or so could realistically steal a spot. The predicted top 25 are as follows: Place Score Name Year Team 1 1 Buser, Rachel 10 Berkeley Spr. 2 2 Caruso, Stephanie 11 Wheeling Cent. 3 Mullen, Darby 11 Logan 4 3 Truelove, Megan 9 Winfield 5 4 Hyde, Elizabeth 11 Doddridge 6 5 Rosier, Sarah 12 Grafton 7 6 Cokeley, Jamie 12 Ritchie 8 McCort, Maggie 12 Frankfort 9 7 Manning, Melanie 10 Ritchie 10 Emch, Alexis 11 Magnolia 11 8 Abcouwer, Kim 11 Chas. Catholic 12 9 Henry, Breanna 11 Berkeley Spr. 13 10 Sheridan, Nora 10 Chas. Catholic 14 11 Mundey, Kari 10 Berkeley Spr. 15 12 Day, Lisa 11 Winfield 16 13 Potesta, Kathryn 11 Chas. Catholic 17 14 Bauer, Lauren 11 Wheeling Cent. 18 15 Rooper, Holly 10 Winfield 19 16 Coburn, Laken 10 PikeView 20 17 Jividen, Kasey 12 Winfield 21 18 Hunt, Katelyn 10 Grafton 22 Webb, Heidi 12 Williamstown 23 19 Sellers, Brittany 11 Ritchie 24 20 Majestro, Gina 10 Chas. Catholic 25 21 Boring, Kylee 10 Doddridge